Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 Thinking model, released around April 16, 2026, has secured the top spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text leaderboard (Style Control On) with a leading 1503 Elo score, sweeping the top three positions ahead of rivals like OpenAI and Google models. This dominance stems from its superior reasoning capabilities in blind human evaluations that isolate substance from stylistic flair, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital at 100% implied probability. The model has held firm through late April despite competitive pressures, with no major challengers emerging. Realistic upset scenarios include a last-minute rival release or leaderboard recalibration before April 30 resolution, though proximity to deadline minimizes such risks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Anthropic 100.0%
문샷 <1%
아마존 <1%
미스트랄 <1%
$2,002,923 거래량
$2,002,923 거래량
2026.04.30
문샷
아니오
아마존
아니오
미스트랄
아니오
마이크로소프트
아니오
Anthropic
예
ByteDance
아니오
Z.ai
아니오
미투안
아니오
구글
아니오
알리바바
아니오
바이두
아니오
Meta
아니오
OpenAI
아니오
xAI
아니오
DeepSeek
아니오
Anthropic 100.0%
문샷 <1%
아마존 <1%
미스트랄 <1%
$2,002,923 거래량
$2,002,923 거래량
2026.04.30
문샷
$140,153 거래량
아니오
아마존
$80,848 거래량
아니오
미스트랄
$118,134 거래량
아니오
마이크로소프트
$34,730 거래량
아니오
Anthropic
$170,120 거래량
예
ByteDance
$45,324 거래량
아니오
Z.ai
$86,407 거래량
아니오
미투안
$61,138 거래량
아니오
구글
$221,932 거래량
아니오
알리바바
$90,867 거래량
아니오
바이두
$129,060 거래량
아니오
Meta
$39,510 거래량
아니오
OpenAI
$235,032 거래량
아니오
xAI
$226,933 거래량
아니오
DeepSeek
$322,734 거래량
아니오
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 Thinking model, released around April 16, 2026, has secured the top spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text leaderboard (Style Control On) with a leading 1503 Elo score, sweeping the top three positions ahead of rivals like OpenAI and Google models. This dominance stems from its superior reasoning capabilities in blind human evaluations that isolate substance from stylistic flair, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital at 100% implied probability. The model has held firm through late April despite competitive pressures, with no major challengers emerging. Realistic upset scenarios include a last-minute rival release or leaderboard recalibration before April 30 resolution, though proximity to deadline minimizes such risks.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Mar 20, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
거래량
$2,002,923종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 20, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: 예
이의 없음
최종 결과: 예
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 Thinking model, released around April 16, 2026, has secured the top spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text leaderboard (Style Control On) with a leading 1503 Elo score, sweeping the top three positions ahead of rivals like OpenAI and Google models. This dominance stems from its superior reasoning capabilities in blind human evaluations that isolate substance from stylistic flair, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital at 100% implied probability. The model has held firm through late April despite competitive pressures, with no major challengers emerging. Realistic upset scenarios include a last-minute rival release or leaderboard recalibration before April 30 resolution, though proximity to deadline minimizes such risks.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
거래량
$2,002,923종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 20, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: 예
이의 없음
최종 결과: 예
Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 Thinking model, released around April 16, 2026, has secured the top spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text leaderboard (Style Control On) with a leading 1503 Elo score, sweeping the top three positions ahead of rivals like OpenAI and Google models. This dominance stems from its superior reasoning capabilities in blind human evaluations that isolate substance from stylistic flair, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital at 100% implied probability. The model has held firm through late April despite competitive pressures, with no major challengers emerging. Realistic upset scenarios include a last-minute rival release or leaderboard recalibration before April 30 resolution, though proximity to deadline minimizes such risks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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