Traders assign overwhelming implied probability to Anthropic for the best coding AI model by end of June, driven by its Claude models' demonstrated strengths in code generation, debugging, and handling complex programming benchmarks. This consensus reflects ongoing competitive positioning in the large language model space, where Anthropic's focus on reliable, high-performance capabilities for developer workflows has outpaced rivals like OpenAI in recent evaluations. Key upcoming catalysts include any new model updates or benchmark releases before month-end that could shift outcomes, though realistic scenarios such as delayed launches or benchmark volatility remain low-probability disruptors given current trader sentiment backed by real capital.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Anthropic 95%
OpenAI 4.3%
Z.ai <1%
Google <1%
$54,847 거래량
$54,847 거래량
2026.06.30
Anthropic
95%
OpenAI
4%
Z.ai
1%
<1%
xAI
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Meta
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Anthropic 95%
OpenAI 4.3%
Z.ai <1%
Google <1%
$54,847 거래량
$54,847 거래량
2026.06.30
Anthropic
$8,180 거래량
95%
OpenAI
$6,751 거래량
4%
Z.ai
$6,258 거래량
1%
$5,421 거래량
<1%
xAI
$6,210 거래량
<1%
Microsoft
$2,839 거래량
<1%
Alibaba
$4,353 거래량
<1%
Moonshot
$4,457 거래량
<1%
DeepSeek
$4,524 거래량
<1%
ByteDance
$1,844 거래량
<1%
Meta
$747 거래량
<1%
Baidu
$868 거래량
<1%
Amazon
$894 거래량
<1%
Mistral
$633 거래량
<1%
Meituan
$870 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders assign overwhelming implied probability to Anthropic for the best coding AI model by end of June, driven by its Claude models' demonstrated strengths in code generation, debugging, and handling complex programming benchmarks. This consensus reflects ongoing competitive positioning in the large language model space, where Anthropic's focus on reliable, high-performance capabilities for developer workflows has outpaced rivals like OpenAI in recent evaluations. Key upcoming catalysts include any new model updates or benchmark releases before month-end that could shift outcomes, though realistic scenarios such as delayed launches or benchmark volatility remain low-probability disruptors given current trader sentiment backed by real capital.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
마켓 개설일: May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
거래량
$54,847종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders assign overwhelming implied probability to Anthropic for the best coding AI model by end of June, driven by its Claude models' demonstrated strengths in code generation, debugging, and handling complex programming benchmarks. This consensus reflects ongoing competitive positioning in the large language model space, where Anthropic's focus on reliable, high-performance capabilities for developer workflows has outpaced rivals like OpenAI in recent evaluations. Key upcoming catalysts include any new model updates or benchmark releases before month-end that could shift outcomes, though realistic scenarios such as delayed launches or benchmark volatility remain low-probability disruptors given current trader sentiment backed by real capital.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
거래량
$54,847종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign overwhelming implied probability to Anthropic for the best coding AI model by end of June, driven by its Claude models' demonstrated strengths in code generation, debugging, and handling complex programming benchmarks. This consensus reflects ongoing competitive positioning in the large language model space, where Anthropic's focus on reliable, high-performance capabilities for developer workflows has outpaced rivals like OpenAI in recent evaluations. Key upcoming catalysts include any new model updates or benchmark releases before month-end that could shift outcomes, though realistic scenarios such as delayed launches or benchmark volatility remain low-probability disruptors given current trader sentiment backed by real capital.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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