Incumbent Laura Gillen maintains a commanding position in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 4th congressional district, backed by over $2 million in fundraising and $1.5 million in cash on hand compared to under $30,000 for each challenger. Her January 2026 vote supporting Department of Homeland Security funding that included Immigration and Customs Enforcement appropriations prompted challenges from former Assembly member Taylor Darling and others including Nicholas Sciretta and Gian Jones, who positioned themselves as stronger progressive alternatives on immigration. However, the divided opposition field, Gillen’s endorsement from Nassau County Democratic leader Jay Jacobs, and the closed primary’s typically low turnout have solidified trader consensus around the incumbent’s structural advantages ahead of the vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트로라 길런 86%
Nicholas Sciretta 11%
테일러 달링 5.4%
Gian Jones <1%
$18,925 거래량
$18,925 거래량
로라 길런
86%
Nicholas Sciretta
11%
테일러 달링
5%
Gian Jones
<1%
로라 길런 86%
Nicholas Sciretta 11%
테일러 달링 5.4%
Gian Jones <1%
$18,925 거래량
$18,925 거래량
로라 길런
86%
Nicholas Sciretta
11%
테일러 달링
5%
Gian Jones
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Dec 1, 2025, 3:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Laura Gillen maintains a commanding position in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 4th congressional district, backed by over $2 million in fundraising and $1.5 million in cash on hand compared to under $30,000 for each challenger. Her January 2026 vote supporting Department of Homeland Security funding that included Immigration and Customs Enforcement appropriations prompted challenges from former Assembly member Taylor Darling and others including Nicholas Sciretta and Gian Jones, who positioned themselves as stronger progressive alternatives on immigration. However, the divided opposition field, Gillen’s endorsement from Nassau County Democratic leader Jay Jacobs, and the closed primary’s typically low turnout have solidified trader consensus around the incumbent’s structural advantages ahead of the vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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