This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.FDA Commissioner Marty Makary's resignation on May 12 amid clashes over e-cigarette approvals and pressure from Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. highlights ongoing Trump administration turnover, boosting trader consensus on further high-profile departures before 2027. Polymarket odds lead with FBI Director Kash Patel at 66% and Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard at 61% to exit, reflecting controversies around their tenures and reports of internal rifts, including over the Iran conflict that prompted earlier resignations like counterterrorism chief Joe Kent. This follows Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer's April exit amid scandals, plus prior ousters of Attorney General Pam Bondi and DHS Secretary Kristi Noem. With $1.15 million in volume, markets anticipate continued cabinet shakeups as President Trump considers additional changes ahead of the December 31, 2026, resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
FDA Commissioner Marty Makary's resignation on May 12 amid clashes over e-cigarette approvals and pressure from Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. highlights ongoing Trump administration turnover, boosting trader consensus on further high-profile departures before 2027. Polymarket odds lead with FBI Director Kash Patel at 66% and Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard at 61% to exit, reflecting controversies around their tenures and reports of internal rifts, including over the Iran conflict that prompted earlier resignations like counterterrorism chief Joe Kent. This follows Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer's April exit amid scandals, plus prior ousters of Attorney General Pam Bondi and DHS Secretary Kristi Noem. With $1.15 million in volume, markets anticipate continued cabinet shakeups as President Trump considers additional changes ahead of the December 31, 2026, resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
May 5 2026
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth censures Senator Mark Kelly over military video
Pete Hegseth dips to 37%4%
Pete Hegseth censured Senator Mark Kelly for participating in a video urging troops to resist unlawful orders, escalating political tensions and affecting Hegseth’s market price.
Apr 2 2026
Pam Bondi announces departure as Attorney General amid legal challenges
Susie Wiles jumps to 39%5%
Attorney General Pam Bondi announced her departure following court rulings that challenged the legality of several Trump-appointed prosecutors, including herself. This event influenced the market prices for Bondi and related figures like Lee Zeldin.
Mar 10 2026
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick linked to Jeffrey Epstein in released files
Howard Lutnick drops to 28%8%
Documents released by the Justice Department revealed Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick planned a visit to Jeffrey Epstein’s private island in 2012, contradicting prior statements. This association led to calls for his resignation and affected his market price.
Feb 27 2026
Trump administration takes punitive action against AI company Anthropic
Pete Hegseth surges to 41%17%
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and the Trump administration sought to declare Anthropic a supply chain risk over a contract dispute, leading to a federal judge blocking the action. White House chief of staff Susie Wiles met with Anthropic's CEO to discuss AI technology, impacting their market prices.
Feb 6 2026
Trump’s racist post about Obamas deleted after backlash
Susie Wiles jumps to 39%5%
President Trump deleted a racist social media post about the Obamas after bipartisan backlash, with White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt defending the pro-family environment in the White House. This event influenced perceptions of Susie Wiles and the administration's image, affecting her market price.
Jan 30 2026
FBI search of Georgia election offices cites years-old fraud claims
Tulsi Gabbard rises to 40%1%
The FBI obtained a search warrant for Fulton County election offices based on long-discredited claims of fraud in the 2020 election, initiating a high-profile investigation. Tulsi Gabbard's presence at the search raised concerns about politicization and affected her market price.
Dec 30 2025
Howard Lutnick’s name appears in lawsuit over FBI agent firings
Howard Lutnick jumps to 28%7%
The lawsuit cited Director Kash Patel’s role in firing agents, indirectly implicating Lutnick, a senior advisor, and raising questions about his future in the administration, nudging his price upward.
Dec 22 2025
Kristi Noem announces DHS fraud investigation in Minneapolis
Kristi Noem surges to 65%15%
Noem’s public announcement of a DHS fraud probe linked her directly to a major enforcement action, increasing speculation that she might be reassigned or step down, lifting her departure odds.
Dec 20 2025
Tulsi Gabbard appears in FBI’s Georgia election‑office search
Tulsi Gabbard surges to 42%15%
Gabbard’s presence at the high‑profile search tied her directly to a controversial FBI operation, raising doubts about her staying in the administration and pushing her market price up.
Dec 15 2025
FBI appoints co‑deputy director after Bongino’s departure
Kash Patel surges to 78%20%
The appointment of Christopher Raia as co‑deputy director signaled a shift in FBI leadership, increasing expectations that Patel’s role could be diminished, further lifting Patel’s departure probability.
Dec 2 2025
Kristi Noem announces DHS fraud investigation in Minneapolis
Kristi Noem rises to 51%1%
As Secretary of Homeland Security, Kristi Noem disclosed a fraud probe targeting a large childcare fraud scheme in Minneapolis, signaling active involvement in enforcement and increasing speculation about her tenure in the administration.
Dec 1 2025
FBI Deputy Director Dan Bongino announces resignation plan
Kash Patel surges to 63%24%
Bongino said he will resign next month, prompting speculation about instability in the FBI under Director Kash Patel and raising expectations that Patel may be replaced, boosting odds of Patel’s departure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.FDA Commissioner Marty Makary's resignation on May 12 amid clashes over e-cigarette approvals and pressure from Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. highlights ongoing Trump administration turnover, boosting trader consensus on further high-profile departures before 2027. Polymarket odds lead with FBI Director Kash Patel at 66% and Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard at 61% to exit, reflecting controversies around their tenures and reports of internal rifts, including over the Iran conflict that prompted earlier resignations like counterterrorism chief Joe Kent. This follows Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer's April exit amid scandals, plus prior ousters of Attorney General Pam Bondi and DHS Secretary Kristi Noem. With $1.15 million in volume, markets anticipate continued cabinet shakeups as President Trump considers additional changes ahead of the December 31, 2026, resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
FDA Commissioner Marty Makary's resignation on May 12 amid clashes over e-cigarette approvals and pressure from Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. highlights ongoing Trump administration turnover, boosting trader consensus on further high-profile departures before 2027. Polymarket odds lead with FBI Director Kash Patel at 66% and Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard at 61% to exit, reflecting controversies around their tenures and reports of internal rifts, including over the Iran conflict that prompted earlier resignations like counterterrorism chief Joe Kent. This follows Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer's April exit amid scandals, plus prior ousters of Attorney General Pam Bondi and DHS Secretary Kristi Noem. With $1.15 million in volume, markets anticipate continued cabinet shakeups as President Trump considers additional changes ahead of the December 31, 2026, resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
May 5 2026
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth censures Senator Mark Kelly over military video
Pete Hegseth dips to 37%4%
Pete Hegseth censured Senator Mark Kelly for participating in a video urging troops to resist unlawful orders, escalating political tensions and affecting Hegseth’s market price.
Apr 2 2026
Pam Bondi announces departure as Attorney General amid legal challenges
Susie Wiles jumps to 39%5%
Attorney General Pam Bondi announced her departure following court rulings that challenged the legality of several Trump-appointed prosecutors, including herself. This event influenced the market prices for Bondi and related figures like Lee Zeldin.
Mar 10 2026
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick linked to Jeffrey Epstein in released files
Howard Lutnick drops to 28%8%
Documents released by the Justice Department revealed Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick planned a visit to Jeffrey Epstein’s private island in 2012, contradicting prior statements. This association led to calls for his resignation and affected his market price.
Feb 27 2026
Trump administration takes punitive action against AI company Anthropic
Pete Hegseth surges to 41%17%
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and the Trump administration sought to declare Anthropic a supply chain risk over a contract dispute, leading to a federal judge blocking the action. White House chief of staff Susie Wiles met with Anthropic's CEO to discuss AI technology, impacting their market prices.
Feb 6 2026
Trump’s racist post about Obamas deleted after backlash
Susie Wiles jumps to 39%5%
President Trump deleted a racist social media post about the Obamas after bipartisan backlash, with White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt defending the pro-family environment in the White House. This event influenced perceptions of Susie Wiles and the administration's image, affecting her market price.
Jan 30 2026
FBI search of Georgia election offices cites years-old fraud claims
Tulsi Gabbard rises to 40%1%
The FBI obtained a search warrant for Fulton County election offices based on long-discredited claims of fraud in the 2020 election, initiating a high-profile investigation. Tulsi Gabbard's presence at the search raised concerns about politicization and affected her market price.
Dec 30 2025
Howard Lutnick’s name appears in lawsuit over FBI agent firings
Howard Lutnick jumps to 28%7%
The lawsuit cited Director Kash Patel’s role in firing agents, indirectly implicating Lutnick, a senior advisor, and raising questions about his future in the administration, nudging his price upward.
Dec 22 2025
Kristi Noem announces DHS fraud investigation in Minneapolis
Kristi Noem surges to 65%15%
Noem’s public announcement of a DHS fraud probe linked her directly to a major enforcement action, increasing speculation that she might be reassigned or step down, lifting her departure odds.
Dec 20 2025
Tulsi Gabbard appears in FBI’s Georgia election‑office search
Tulsi Gabbard surges to 42%15%
Gabbard’s presence at the high‑profile search tied her directly to a controversial FBI operation, raising doubts about her staying in the administration and pushing her market price up.
Dec 15 2025
FBI appoints co‑deputy director after Bongino’s departure
Kash Patel surges to 78%20%
The appointment of Christopher Raia as co‑deputy director signaled a shift in FBI leadership, increasing expectations that Patel’s role could be diminished, further lifting Patel’s departure probability.
Dec 2 2025
Kristi Noem announces DHS fraud investigation in Minneapolis
Kristi Noem rises to 51%1%
As Secretary of Homeland Security, Kristi Noem disclosed a fraud probe targeting a large childcare fraud scheme in Minneapolis, signaling active involvement in enforcement and increasing speculation about her tenure in the administration.
Dec 1 2025
FBI Deputy Director Dan Bongino announces resignation plan
Kash Patel surges to 63%24%
Bongino said he will resign next month, prompting speculation about instability in the FBI under Director Kash Patel and raising expectations that Patel may be replaced, boosting odds of Patel’s departure.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문
"2027년 이전에 누가 트럼프 행정부를 떠날 것인가?"은 20개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 100%의 "팸 본디"이며, 이어서 100%의 "댄 보지노"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 100¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 100%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.
오늘 현재 "2027년 이전에 누가 트럼프 행정부를 떠날 것인가?"은 총 $1.2 million의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Nov 5, 2025에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.
"2027년 이전에 누가 트럼프 행정부를 떠날 것인가?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 20개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.
"2027년 이전에 누가 트럼프 행정부를 떠날 것인가?"의 현재 유력 후보는 100%의 "팸 본디"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 100%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 100%의 "댄 보지노"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.
"2027년 이전에 누가 트럼프 행정부를 떠날 것인가?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.
네. 정보를 얻기 위해 거래할 필요가 없습니다. 이 페이지는 "2027년 이전에 누가 트럼프 행정부를 떠날 것인가?"의 실시간 추적기 역할을 합니다. 결과 확률은 새로운 거래가 들어옴에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트됩니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하고 다른 트레이더들이 무엇을 말하는지 댓글 섹션을 확인할 수 있습니다. 차트의 시간 범위 필터를 사용하여 확률이 시간에 따라 어떻게 변화했는지 확인할 수도 있습니다. 마켓이 기대하는 바에 대한 무료 실시간 창입니다.
Polymarket 확률은 자신의 신념에 실제 돈을 투자하는 트레이더들에 의해 설정되어 정확한 예측을 표면화하는 경향이 있습니다. "2027년 이전에 누가 트럼프 행정부를 떠날 것인가?"에 $1.2 million이 거래되어 이 가격은 수천 명의 참가자의 집단 지식과 확신을 집계합니다 — 여론조사, 전문가 예측, 기존 설문조사를 종종 능가합니다. Polymarket과 같은 예측 마켓은 특히 이벤트가 정산일에 가까워질수록 강한 정확도 실적을 가지고 있습니다. 예를 들어 Polymarket의 1개월 정확도 점수는 94%입니다. Polymarket의 예측 정확도에 대한 최신 통계는 정확도 페이지를 방문하세요.
"2027년 이전에 누가 트럼프 행정부를 떠날 것인가?"에서 첫 거래를 하려면 무료 Polymarket 계정에 가입하고 암호화폐, 신용 또는 직불카드, 은행 이체를 사용하여 자금을 입금하세요. 계정에 자금이 입금되면 이 페이지로 돌아와 거래하려는 결과를 선택하고 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 예측 마켓이 처음이라면 Polymarket 페이지 상단의 "이용 방법" 링크를 클릭하여 거래 방법에 대한 단계별 안내를 확인하세요.
Polymarket에서 각 결과의 가격은 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타냅니다. "2027년 이전에 누가 트럼프 행정부를 떠날 것인가?" 마켓에서 "팸 본디"의 100¢ 가격은 트레이더들이 "팸 본디"이 정확한 결과가 될 확률을 대략 100%로 보고 있음을 의미합니다. 100¢에 "Yes" 주식을 매수하고 결과가 맞으면 주당 $1.00을 받습니다 — 주당 0¢의 수익입니다. 틀리면 해당 주식은 $0의 가치입니다.
"2027년 이전에 누가 트럼프 행정부를 떠날 것인가?" 마켓은 Dec 31, 2026 전후에 정산될 예정입니다. 이는 해당 날짜까지 거래가 계속 열려 있고 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 계속 변할 것임을 의미합니다. 정확한 정산 시기는 이 페이지의 "규칙" 섹션에 명시된 대로 공식 결과가 이용 가능해지는 시점에 따라 달라집니다.
"2027년 이전에 누가 트럼프 행정부를 떠날 것인가?" 마켓에는 트레이더들이 분석을 공유하고, 결과를 토론하고, 최신 진전을 논의하는 76개 댓글의 활발한 커뮤니티이 있습니다. 아래 댓글 섹션으로 스크롤하여 다른 참가자들의 의견을 읽어보세요. "상위 보유자"로 필터링하여 마켓의 가장 큰 트레이더들의 포지션을 확인하거나 "활동" 탭에서 실시간 거래 피드를 확인할 수도 있습니다.
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