Ongoing hostilities between Israel and Iran, including the U.S.-backed military campaign that began with strikes on February 28, 2026, and subsequent Iranian retaliatory actions, have eliminated any near-term path to restored diplomatic ties. Relations have remained severed since the 1979 Iranian Revolution, with no normalization signals amid fragile ceasefires, stalled nuclear and regional negotiations mediated by Pakistan and Oman, and persistent disputes over ballistic missiles, proxies, and the Strait of Hormuz. As of mid-May 2026, Iranian officials cite deep mistrust in talks while Israeli and U.S. positions emphasize verifiable concessions absent from current proposals. Traders therefore price an Israeli embassy reopening in Tehran by year-end as highly improbable barring a comprehensive bilateral breakthrough.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$51,779 거래량
$51,779 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$51,779 거래량
$51,779 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing hostilities between Israel and Iran, including the U.S.-backed military campaign that began with strikes on February 28, 2026, and subsequent Iranian retaliatory actions, have eliminated any near-term path to restored diplomatic ties. Relations have remained severed since the 1979 Iranian Revolution, with no normalization signals amid fragile ceasefires, stalled nuclear and regional negotiations mediated by Pakistan and Oman, and persistent disputes over ballistic missiles, proxies, and the Strait of Hormuz. As of mid-May 2026, Iranian officials cite deep mistrust in talks while Israeli and U.S. positions emphasize verifiable concessions absent from current proposals. Traders therefore price an Israeli embassy reopening in Tehran by year-end as highly improbable barring a comprehensive bilateral breakthrough.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ET
거래량
$51,779종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing hostilities between Israel and Iran, including the U.S.-backed military campaign that began with strikes on February 28, 2026, and subsequent Iranian retaliatory actions, have eliminated any near-term path to restored diplomatic ties. Relations have remained severed since the 1979 Iranian Revolution, with no normalization signals amid fragile ceasefires, stalled nuclear and regional negotiations mediated by Pakistan and Oman, and persistent disputes over ballistic missiles, proxies, and the Strait of Hormuz. As of mid-May 2026, Iranian officials cite deep mistrust in talks while Israeli and U.S. positions emphasize verifiable concessions absent from current proposals. Traders therefore price an Israeli embassy reopening in Tehran by year-end as highly improbable barring a comprehensive bilateral breakthrough.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$51,779종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing hostilities between Israel and Iran, including the U.S.-backed military campaign that began with strikes on February 28, 2026, and subsequent Iranian retaliatory actions, have eliminated any near-term path to restored diplomatic ties. Relations have remained severed since the 1979 Iranian Revolution, with no normalization signals amid fragile ceasefires, stalled nuclear and regional negotiations mediated by Pakistan and Oman, and persistent disputes over ballistic missiles, proxies, and the Strait of Hormuz. As of mid-May 2026, Iranian officials cite deep mistrust in talks while Israeli and U.S. positions emphasize verifiable concessions absent from current proposals. Traders therefore price an Israeli embassy reopening in Tehran by year-end as highly improbable barring a comprehensive bilateral breakthrough.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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