Ongoing hostilities between Israel and Iran, intensified by U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, that targeted Iranian leadership and military sites, have eliminated any near-term path to restored diplomatic relations. A conditional ceasefire reached in April has not eased fundamental tensions, as Iranian officials continue to reject normalization while coordinating with regional allies and preparing for potential renewed conflict. Traders price an Israeli embassy reopening in Tehran before the end of 2026 at just 8.5 percent, reflecting the 47-year absence of formal ties, active security threats, and the absence of any bilateral diplomatic process. Upcoming mediation efforts face significant obstacles from hardline factions on both sides.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$51,779 거래량
$51,779 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$51,779 거래량
$51,779 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing hostilities between Israel and Iran, intensified by U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, that targeted Iranian leadership and military sites, have eliminated any near-term path to restored diplomatic relations. A conditional ceasefire reached in April has not eased fundamental tensions, as Iranian officials continue to reject normalization while coordinating with regional allies and preparing for potential renewed conflict. Traders price an Israeli embassy reopening in Tehran before the end of 2026 at just 8.5 percent, reflecting the 47-year absence of formal ties, active security threats, and the absence of any bilateral diplomatic process. Upcoming mediation efforts face significant obstacles from hardline factions on both sides.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ET
거래량
$51,779종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing hostilities between Israel and Iran, intensified by U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, that targeted Iranian leadership and military sites, have eliminated any near-term path to restored diplomatic relations. A conditional ceasefire reached in April has not eased fundamental tensions, as Iranian officials continue to reject normalization while coordinating with regional allies and preparing for potential renewed conflict. Traders price an Israeli embassy reopening in Tehran before the end of 2026 at just 8.5 percent, reflecting the 47-year absence of formal ties, active security threats, and the absence of any bilateral diplomatic process. Upcoming mediation efforts face significant obstacles from hardline factions on both sides.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$51,779종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing hostilities between Israel and Iran, intensified by U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, that targeted Iranian leadership and military sites, have eliminated any near-term path to restored diplomatic relations. A conditional ceasefire reached in April has not eased fundamental tensions, as Iranian officials continue to reject normalization while coordinating with regional allies and preparing for potential renewed conflict. Traders price an Israeli embassy reopening in Tehran before the end of 2026 at just 8.5 percent, reflecting the 47-year absence of formal ties, active security threats, and the absence of any bilateral diplomatic process. Upcoming mediation efforts face significant obstacles from hardline factions on both sides.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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