**Putin’s explicit June 5 rejection of Zelenskyy’s June 4 open-letter proposal for direct talks is the dominant driver of the 99.1 % “No” probability.** The Russian leader stated he sees “no point” in a meeting until Moscow’s objectives are met, underscoring Russia’s insistence on territorial concessions and security guarantees that Ukraine rejects. U.S.-brokered trilateral talks in Geneva and Abu Dhabi have been on pause since late February amid competing priorities in the Middle East, with only prisoner exchanges providing limited continuity. No bilateral summit is scheduled in the remaining twelve days, and both sides maintain maximalist positions without credible signals of reversal. While a sudden third-party-mediated breakthrough or last-minute diplomatic reversal cannot be entirely ruled out, the absence of preparatory steps or mutual concessions leaves trader consensus firmly against any leader-level encounter by the June 30 deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$367,878 거래량
$367,878 거래량
$367,878 거래량
$367,878 거래량
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Sep 23, 2025, 5:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Putin’s explicit June 5 rejection of Zelenskyy’s June 4 open-letter proposal for direct talks is the dominant driver of the 99.1 % “No” probability.** The Russian leader stated he sees “no point” in a meeting until Moscow’s objectives are met, underscoring Russia’s insistence on territorial concessions and security guarantees that Ukraine rejects. U.S.-brokered trilateral talks in Geneva and Abu Dhabi have been on pause since late February amid competing priorities in the Middle East, with only prisoner exchanges providing limited continuity. No bilateral summit is scheduled in the remaining twelve days, and both sides maintain maximalist positions without credible signals of reversal. While a sudden third-party-mediated breakthrough or last-minute diplomatic reversal cannot be entirely ruled out, the absence of preparatory steps or mutual concessions leaves trader consensus firmly against any leader-level encounter by the June 30 deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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