Recent U.S. military actions in Latin America have centered on targeted operations rather than sustained ground occupations, reinforcing trader expectations that no full-scale invasion will occur this year. The January 2026 apprehension of Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro involved brief airstrikes and a special forces raid without establishing territorial control or prolonged presence. Subsequent efforts have included maritime interdictions against suspected drug vessels, joint strikes with Ecuadorian forces against designated groups, and sanctions pressure on Cuba, all framed by administration officials around border security, counternarcotics, and limiting external influence. With no announced plans for large-scale troop deployments or occupation of any qualifying country and half the year elapsed without escalation, these measured steps have anchored the current implied probability on no invasion.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$220,329 거래량
$220,329 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$220,329 거래량
$220,329 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Recent U.S. military actions in Latin America have centered on targeted operations rather than sustained ground occupations, reinforcing trader expectations that no full-scale invasion will occur this year. The January 2026 apprehension of Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro involved brief airstrikes and a special forces raid without establishing territorial control or prolonged presence. Subsequent efforts have included maritime interdictions against suspected drug vessels, joint strikes with Ecuadorian forces against designated groups, and sanctions pressure on Cuba, all framed by administration officials around border security, counternarcotics, and limiting external influence. With no announced plans for large-scale troop deployments or occupation of any qualifying country and half the year elapsed without escalation, these measured steps have anchored the current implied probability on no invasion.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
마켓 개설일: Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
거래량
$220,329종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Recent U.S. military actions in Latin America have centered on targeted operations rather than sustained ground occupations, reinforcing trader expectations that no full-scale invasion will occur this year. The January 2026 apprehension of Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro involved brief airstrikes and a special forces raid without establishing territorial control or prolonged presence. Subsequent efforts have included maritime interdictions against suspected drug vessels, joint strikes with Ecuadorian forces against designated groups, and sanctions pressure on Cuba, all framed by administration officials around border security, counternarcotics, and limiting external influence. With no announced plans for large-scale troop deployments or occupation of any qualifying country and half the year elapsed without escalation, these measured steps have anchored the current implied probability on no invasion.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
거래량
$220,329종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. military actions in Latin America have centered on targeted operations rather than sustained ground occupations, reinforcing trader expectations that no full-scale invasion will occur this year. The January 2026 apprehension of Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro involved brief airstrikes and a special forces raid without establishing territorial control or prolonged presence. Subsequent efforts have included maritime interdictions against suspected drug vessels, joint strikes with Ecuadorian forces against designated groups, and sanctions pressure on Cuba, all framed by administration officials around border security, counternarcotics, and limiting external influence. With no announced plans for large-scale troop deployments or occupation of any qualifying country and half the year elapsed without escalation, these measured steps have anchored the current implied probability on no invasion.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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