President Trump's February 2026 interview call for Republicans to "nationalize" voting in select states ahead of the 2026 midterms—citing unsubstantiated fraud claims—sparked backlash from state officials across parties emphasizing constitutional federalism under Article I, Section 4, which reserves election administration to states with limited congressional override. Subsequent executive orders in March 2026, such as "Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections," mandated proof-of-citizenship checks for federal ballots but stopped short of centralizing control. The SAVE America Act, requiring voter ID and eligibility verification, advanced through the House but remains stalled in the Senate amid filibuster disputes and Majority Leader John Thune's assessment of insufficient GOP votes. With midterms approaching and courts poised to challenge overreach, traders price an 89% "No" probability on full nationalization.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$15,491 거래량
$15,491 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$15,491 거래량
$15,491 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
President Trump's February 2026 interview call for Republicans to "nationalize" voting in select states ahead of the 2026 midterms—citing unsubstantiated fraud claims—sparked backlash from state officials across parties emphasizing constitutional federalism under Article I, Section 4, which reserves election administration to states with limited congressional override. Subsequent executive orders in March 2026, such as "Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections," mandated proof-of-citizenship checks for federal ballots but stopped short of centralizing control. The SAVE America Act, requiring voter ID and eligibility verification, advanced through the House but remains stalled in the Senate amid filibuster disputes and Majority Leader John Thune's assessment of insufficient GOP votes. With midterms approaching and courts poised to challenge overreach, traders price an 89% "No" probability on full nationalization.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Feb 4, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
거래량
$15,491종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 4, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
President Trump's February 2026 interview call for Republicans to "nationalize" voting in select states ahead of the 2026 midterms—citing unsubstantiated fraud claims—sparked backlash from state officials across parties emphasizing constitutional federalism under Article I, Section 4, which reserves election administration to states with limited congressional override. Subsequent executive orders in March 2026, such as "Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections," mandated proof-of-citizenship checks for federal ballots but stopped short of centralizing control. The SAVE America Act, requiring voter ID and eligibility verification, advanced through the House but remains stalled in the Senate amid filibuster disputes and Majority Leader John Thune's assessment of insufficient GOP votes. With midterms approaching and courts poised to challenge overreach, traders price an 89% "No" probability on full nationalization.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$15,491종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 4, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's February 2026 interview call for Republicans to "nationalize" voting in select states ahead of the 2026 midterms—citing unsubstantiated fraud claims—sparked backlash from state officials across parties emphasizing constitutional federalism under Article I, Section 4, which reserves election administration to states with limited congressional override. Subsequent executive orders in March 2026, such as "Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections," mandated proof-of-citizenship checks for federal ballots but stopped short of centralizing control. The SAVE America Act, requiring voter ID and eligibility verification, advanced through the House but remains stalled in the Senate amid filibuster disputes and Majority Leader John Thune's assessment of insufficient GOP votes. With midterms approaching and courts poised to challenge overreach, traders price an 89% "No" probability on full nationalization.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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