Trump’s ongoing use of direct, confrontational language in public statements, interviews, and Truth Social posts continues to shape trader expectations for daily insult markets. In recent days the president has criticized reporters as “dumb” and “stupid” during White House exchanges and targeted Democratic figures and state-level candidates with terms such as “Dumocrats” and attacks on policy positions. These exchanges reflect established patterns of rhetoric that traders treat as reliable signals when assessing short-term probabilities. Scheduled press availability, upcoming international travel, and ongoing legislative debates over tariffs and foreign policy could trigger additional statements before month-end. Historical volume on similar daily contracts shows consistent resolution toward affirmative outcomes when press interactions or social-media activity occur.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$509,115 거래량
2026.05.31
May 18
95%
May 19
95%
May 20
91%
May 21
90%
May 22
93%
May 23
91%
May 24
90%
May 25
91%
May 26
91%
May 27
89%
May 28
91%
May 29
91%
May 30
91%
May 31
90%
$509,115 거래량
May 18
$7,892 거래량
95%
May 19
$2,252 거래량
95%
May 20
$1,797 거래량
91%
May 21
$748 거래량
90%
May 22
$1,083 거래량
93%
May 23
$153 거래량
91%
May 24
$497 거래량
90%
May 25
$626 거래량
91%
May 26
$735 거래량
91%
May 27
$1,035 거래량
89%
May 28
$523 거래량
91%
May 29
$383 거래량
91%
May 30
$97 거래량
91%
May 31
$399 거래량
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s ongoing use of direct, confrontational language in public statements, interviews, and Truth Social posts continues to shape trader expectations for daily insult markets. In recent days the president has criticized reporters as “dumb” and “stupid” during White House exchanges and targeted Democratic figures and state-level candidates with terms such as “Dumocrats” and attacks on policy positions. These exchanges reflect established patterns of rhetoric that traders treat as reliable signals when assessing short-term probabilities. Scheduled press availability, upcoming international travel, and ongoing legislative debates over tariffs and foreign policy could trigger additional statements before month-end. Historical volume on similar daily contracts shows consistent resolution toward affirmative outcomes when press interactions or social-media activity occur.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
거래량
$509,115종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s ongoing use of direct, confrontational language in public statements, interviews, and Truth Social posts continues to shape trader expectations for daily insult markets. In recent days the president has criticized reporters as “dumb” and “stupid” during White House exchanges and targeted Democratic figures and state-level candidates with terms such as “Dumocrats” and attacks on policy positions. These exchanges reflect established patterns of rhetoric that traders treat as reliable signals when assessing short-term probabilities. Scheduled press availability, upcoming international travel, and ongoing legislative debates over tariffs and foreign policy could trigger additional statements before month-end. Historical volume on similar daily contracts shows consistent resolution toward affirmative outcomes when press interactions or social-media activity occur.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$509,115종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s ongoing use of direct, confrontational language in public statements, interviews, and Truth Social posts continues to shape trader expectations for daily insult markets. In recent days the president has criticized reporters as “dumb” and “stupid” during White House exchanges and targeted Democratic figures and state-level candidates with terms such as “Dumocrats” and attacks on policy positions. These exchanges reflect established patterns of rhetoric that traders treat as reliable signals when assessing short-term probabilities. Scheduled press availability, upcoming international travel, and ongoing legislative debates over tariffs and foreign policy could trigger additional statements before month-end. Historical volume on similar daily contracts shows consistent resolution toward affirmative outcomes when press interactions or social-media activity occur.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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