Russian forces maintain control of Maliivka, a small village southeast of Oleksandrivka in Donetsk Oblast, according to March 2026 assessments, with no confirmed Ukrainian re-entry reported since. Recent Institute for the Study of War updates through May 13 highlight Ukrainian counterattacks and advances nearby, including toward Piddubne, Komar, and Oleksandrohrad northeast and east of Oleksandrivka, amid Russian infiltration efforts but no territorial gains in the immediate sector. Broader frontline dynamics show Russian incremental advances slowing due to Ukrainian fortifications, counteroffensives, and long-range strikes on logistics, while no major escalations or diplomatic breakthroughs alter the contested status. Traders should monitor daily ISW maps for resolution, as localized assaults remain unpredictable in this attritional phase.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$46,109 거래량
5월 31일
18%
$46,109 거래량
5월 31일
18%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Apr 22, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces maintain control of Maliivka, a small village southeast of Oleksandrivka in Donetsk Oblast, according to March 2026 assessments, with no confirmed Ukrainian re-entry reported since. Recent Institute for the Study of War updates through May 13 highlight Ukrainian counterattacks and advances nearby, including toward Piddubne, Komar, and Oleksandrohrad northeast and east of Oleksandrivka, amid Russian infiltration efforts but no territorial gains in the immediate sector. Broader frontline dynamics show Russian incremental advances slowing due to Ukrainian fortifications, counteroffensives, and long-range strikes on logistics, while no major escalations or diplomatic breakthroughs alter the contested status. Traders should monitor daily ISW maps for resolution, as localized assaults remain unpredictable in this attritional phase.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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