**OpenAI’s September 8 announcement that an unreleased internal model solved the Navier–Stokes Millennium Problem in 88 hours with ~10,000 agents has sharply raised expectations for near-term progress on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath: Open Problems benchmark.** This follows GPT-6 Astra’s early-September solutions to two Erdős problems on the related FrontierMath Erdős set and OpenAI models’ continued dominance on the main FrontierMath leaderboard (GPT-5.6 Sol at ~89%, GPT-6 Astra near 98% on Tier 4). Traders see sustained competitive pressure from OpenAI, Anthropic’s Claude variants, and rapid iteration on agentic workflows and Lean formalization as the key drivers pushing implied probabilities above 89% for an additional verified solution by September 30 and near-certainty by year-end. Key upcoming catalysts include further model releases, expanded compute budgets on open problems, and Epoch AI’s next benchmark updates; resolution hinges strictly on Epoch’s official classification rather than third-party claims.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAnother Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?
NOWE
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
73%
October 31
67%
$81 Wol.
September 30
$46 Wol.
73%
October 31
$35 Wol.
67%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.**OpenAI’s September 8 announcement that an unreleased internal model solved the Navier–Stokes Millennium Problem in 88 hours with ~10,000 agents has sharply raised expectations for near-term progress on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath: Open Problems benchmark.**
This follows GPT-6 Astra’s early-September solutions to two Erdős problems on the related FrontierMath Erdős set and OpenAI models’ continued dominance on the main FrontierMath leaderboard (GPT-5.6 Sol at ~89%, GPT-6 Astra near 98% on Tier 4). Traders see sustained competitive pressure from OpenAI, Anthropic’s Claude variants, and rapid iteration on agentic workflows and Lean formalization as the key drivers pushing implied probabilities above 89% for an additional verified solution by September 30 and near-certainty by year-end.
Key upcoming catalysts include further model releases, expanded compute budgets on open problems, and Epoch AI’s next benchmark updates; resolution hinges strictly on Epoch’s official classification rather than third-party claims.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
Wolumen
$81Data zakończenia
Nov 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 2:16 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.**OpenAI’s September 8 announcement that an unreleased internal model solved the Navier–Stokes Millennium Problem in 88 hours with ~10,000 agents has sharply raised expectations for near-term progress on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath: Open Problems benchmark.**
This follows GPT-6 Astra’s early-September solutions to two Erdős problems on the related FrontierMath Erdős set and OpenAI models’ continued dominance on the main FrontierMath leaderboard (GPT-5.6 Sol at ~89%, GPT-6 Astra near 98% on Tier 4). Traders see sustained competitive pressure from OpenAI, Anthropic’s Claude variants, and rapid iteration on agentic workflows and Lean formalization as the key drivers pushing implied probabilities above 89% for an additional verified solution by September 30 and near-certainty by year-end.
Key upcoming catalysts include further model releases, expanded compute budgets on open problems, and Epoch AI’s next benchmark updates; resolution hinges strictly on Epoch’s official classification rather than third-party claims.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
Wolumen
$81Data zakończenia
Nov 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 2:16 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...**OpenAI’s September 8 announcement that an unreleased internal model solved the Navier–Stokes Millennium Problem in 88 hours with ~10,000 agents has sharply raised expectations for near-term progress on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath: Open Problems benchmark.** This follows GPT-6 Astra’s early-September solutions to two Erdős problems on the related FrontierMath Erdős set and OpenAI models’ continued dominance on the main FrontierMath leaderboard (GPT-5.6 Sol at ~89%, GPT-6 Astra near 98% on Tier 4). Traders see sustained competitive pressure from OpenAI, Anthropic’s Claude variants, and rapid iteration on agentic workflows and Lean formalization as the key drivers pushing implied probabilities above 89% for an additional verified solution by September 30 and near-certainty by year-end. Key upcoming catalysts include further model releases, expanded compute budgets on open problems, and Epoch AI’s next benchmark updates; resolution hinges strictly on Epoch’s official classification rather than third-party claims.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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