The Bank of England's June 18, 2026, Monetary Policy Committee decision carries an 85% implied probability of no change at the current 3.75% Bank Rate, reflecting trader consensus that elevated energy prices from Middle East conflict will keep CPI inflation near 3.3% through the third quarter without triggering immediate tightening. Recent data showed March inflation rising 0.3 percentage points above prior expectations due to motor fuel and utility costs, prompting the Bank to outline contingent scenarios for potential rate increases later in 2026 while noting a loosening labor market could contain second-round wage pressures. This positioning aligns with the April Monetary Policy Report's emphasis on upside inflation risks versus weakening economic conditions, leaving little scope for a 25-basis-point move in either direction at the upcoming meeting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBank of England decision in June?
Bank of England decision in June?
No change 85%
25 bps increase 15%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$146,433 Wol.
$146,433 Wol.
Jun 18, 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
85%
25 bps increase
15%
50+ bps increase
1%
No change 85%
25 bps increase 15%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$146,433 Wol.
$146,433 Wol.
Jun 18, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$24,993 Wol.
<1%
25 bps decrease
$25,323 Wol.
<1%
No change
$30,928 Wol.
85%
25 bps increase
$41,099 Wol.
15%
50+ bps increase
$24,091 Wol.
1%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of England's June 18, 2026, Monetary Policy Committee decision carries an 85% implied probability of no change at the current 3.75% Bank Rate, reflecting trader consensus that elevated energy prices from Middle East conflict will keep CPI inflation near 3.3% through the third quarter without triggering immediate tightening. Recent data showed March inflation rising 0.3 percentage points above prior expectations due to motor fuel and utility costs, prompting the Bank to outline contingent scenarios for potential rate increases later in 2026 while noting a loosening labor market could contain second-round wage pressures. This positioning aligns with the April Monetary Policy Report's emphasis on upside inflation risks versus weakening economic conditions, leaving little scope for a 25-basis-point move in either direction at the upcoming meeting.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Wolumen
$146,433Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of England's June 18, 2026, Monetary Policy Committee decision carries an 85% implied probability of no change at the current 3.75% Bank Rate, reflecting trader consensus that elevated energy prices from Middle East conflict will keep CPI inflation near 3.3% through the third quarter without triggering immediate tightening. Recent data showed March inflation rising 0.3 percentage points above prior expectations due to motor fuel and utility costs, prompting the Bank to outline contingent scenarios for potential rate increases later in 2026 while noting a loosening labor market could contain second-round wage pressures. This positioning aligns with the April Monetary Policy Report's emphasis on upside inflation risks versus weakening economic conditions, leaving little scope for a 25-basis-point move in either direction at the upcoming meeting.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Wolumen
$146,433Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of England's June 18, 2026, Monetary Policy Committee decision carries an 85% implied probability of no change at the current 3.75% Bank Rate, reflecting trader consensus that elevated energy prices from Middle East conflict will keep CPI inflation near 3.3% through the third quarter without triggering immediate tightening. Recent data showed March inflation rising 0.3 percentage points above prior expectations due to motor fuel and utility costs, prompting the Bank to outline contingent scenarios for potential rate increases later in 2026 while noting a loosening labor market could contain second-round wage pressures. This positioning aligns with the April Monetary Policy Report's emphasis on upside inflation risks versus weakening economic conditions, leaving little scope for a 25-basis-point move in either direction at the upcoming meeting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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