Persistent inflation at 5.68% year-over-year in April 2026, well above the 3% target, and Banco de la República staff projections for a rise above 6% by year-end are sustaining the near-even split in market-implied odds for the June 30 policy decision. The unanimous April hold at the current 11.25% rate defied earlier expectations for further tightening, introducing caution as policymakers balance persistent core readings above 5.5% and robust domestic demand against moderating growth and fiscal stimulus. Recent comments from board members suggesting a possible slowdown in the pace of hikes, combined with the forthcoming May inflation release, remain the key swing factors that could tip trader consensus between a 25-to-50 basis point increase and another pause.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCentral Bank of Colombia Decision in June?
Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?
No change 55%
Increase 50%
Decrease 1.5%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 30, 2026
Decrease
2%
No change
51%
Increase
51%
No change 55%
Increase 50%
Decrease 1.5%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 30, 2026
Decrease
$1,531 Wol.
2%
No change
$1,408 Wol.
51%
Increase
$1,078 Wol.
51%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent inflation at 5.68% year-over-year in April 2026, well above the 3% target, and Banco de la República staff projections for a rise above 6% by year-end are sustaining the near-even split in market-implied odds for the June 30 policy decision. The unanimous April hold at the current 11.25% rate defied earlier expectations for further tightening, introducing caution as policymakers balance persistent core readings above 5.5% and robust domestic demand against moderating growth and fiscal stimulus. Recent comments from board members suggesting a possible slowdown in the pace of hikes, combined with the forthcoming May inflation release, remain the key swing factors that could tip trader consensus between a 25-to-50 basis point increase and another pause.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 2, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,017Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 2, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent inflation at 5.68% year-over-year in April 2026, well above the 3% target, and Banco de la República staff projections for a rise above 6% by year-end are sustaining the near-even split in market-implied odds for the June 30 policy decision. The unanimous April hold at the current 11.25% rate defied earlier expectations for further tightening, introducing caution as policymakers balance persistent core readings above 5.5% and robust domestic demand against moderating growth and fiscal stimulus. Recent comments from board members suggesting a possible slowdown in the pace of hikes, combined with the forthcoming May inflation release, remain the key swing factors that could tip trader consensus between a 25-to-50 basis point increase and another pause.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Wolumen
$4,017Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 2, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation at 5.68% year-over-year in April 2026, well above the 3% target, and Banco de la República staff projections for a rise above 6% by year-end are sustaining the near-even split in market-implied odds for the June 30 policy decision. The unanimous April hold at the current 11.25% rate defied earlier expectations for further tightening, introducing caution as policymakers balance persistent core readings above 5.5% and robust domestic demand against moderating growth and fiscal stimulus. Recent comments from board members suggesting a possible slowdown in the pace of hikes, combined with the forthcoming May inflation release, remain the key swing factors that could tip trader consensus between a 25-to-50 basis point increase and another pause.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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