Recent May 2026 core PCE data printed at 3.4% year-over-year—the highest since October 2023—aligning with consensus and extending the upward trend from 3.3% in April, while the FOMC's June Summary of Economic Projections lifted the 2026 core PCE median to 3.3% amid persistent services and goods pressures. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for June point to roughly 3.43%, yet trader-implied odds remain evenly distributed across the 3.3–3.9% bins because incoming monthly components, potential tariff and energy effects, and revisions to seasonal factors introduce material uncertainty ahead of the late-July release. This balanced pricing reflects skin-in-the-game aggregation of labor-market cooling signals against sticky inflation readings, with the next CPI and PPI prints serving as key near-term differentiators for the final June PCE outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano3.5% 33%
3.4% 32%
≤3.3% 17%
3.6% 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 30, 2026
≤3.3%
17%
3.4%
32%
3.5%
33%
3.6%
13%
3.7%
5%
3.8%
5%
3.9%+
3%
3.5% 33%
3.4% 32%
≤3.3% 17%
3.6% 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 30, 2026
≤3.3%
$141 Wol.
17%
3.4%
$1,308 Wol.
32%
3.5%
$2,979 Wol.
33%
3.6%
$1,039 Wol.
13%
3.7%
$506 Wol.
5%
3.8%
$69 Wol.
5%
3.9%+
$216 Wol.
3%
This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending June 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for June 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on July 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent May 2026 core PCE data printed at 3.4% year-over-year—the highest since October 2023—aligning with consensus and extending the upward trend from 3.3% in April, while the FOMC's June Summary of Economic Projections lifted the 2026 core PCE median to 3.3% amid persistent services and goods pressures. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for June point to roughly 3.43%, yet trader-implied odds remain evenly distributed across the 3.3–3.9% bins because incoming monthly components, potential tariff and energy effects, and revisions to seasonal factors introduce material uncertainty ahead of the late-July release. This balanced pricing reflects skin-in-the-game aggregation of labor-market cooling signals against sticky inflation readings, with the next CPI and PPI prints serving as key near-term differentiators for the final June PCE outcome.
This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending June 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for June 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on July 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for June 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on July 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 5, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
Wolumen
$6,243Data zakończenia
Jul 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 5, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending June 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for June 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on July 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent May 2026 core PCE data printed at 3.4% year-over-year—the highest since October 2023—aligning with consensus and extending the upward trend from 3.3% in April, while the FOMC's June Summary of Economic Projections lifted the 2026 core PCE median to 3.3% amid persistent services and goods pressures. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for June point to roughly 3.43%, yet trader-implied odds remain evenly distributed across the 3.3–3.9% bins because incoming monthly components, potential tariff and energy effects, and revisions to seasonal factors introduce material uncertainty ahead of the late-July release. This balanced pricing reflects skin-in-the-game aggregation of labor-market cooling signals against sticky inflation readings, with the next CPI and PPI prints serving as key near-term differentiators for the final June PCE outcome.
This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending June 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for June 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on July 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for June 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on July 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Wolumen
$6,243Data zakończenia
Jul 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 5, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent May 2026 core PCE data printed at 3.4% year-over-year—the highest since October 2023—aligning with consensus and extending the upward trend from 3.3% in April, while the FOMC's June Summary of Economic Projections lifted the 2026 core PCE median to 3.3% amid persistent services and goods pressures. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for June point to roughly 3.43%, yet trader-implied odds remain evenly distributed across the 3.3–3.9% bins because incoming monthly components, potential tariff and energy effects, and revisions to seasonal factors introduce material uncertainty ahead of the late-July release. This balanced pricing reflects skin-in-the-game aggregation of labor-market cooling signals against sticky inflation readings, with the next CPI and PPI prints serving as key near-term differentiators for the final June PCE outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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