Weekend timing across August 15–17 has anchored trader sentiment toward the sub-40 and 40-64 tweet ranges, which command 63.5% and 36.5% implied probability respectively. Historical patterns show Elon Musk’s posting volume typically moderates on weekends absent major Tesla, SpaceX, or regulatory catalysts, with recent trackers indicating daily averages near 24 posts during comparable stretches. Subdued news flow and the absence of high-profile product launches or viral moments have reinforced measured activity rather than the sustained threading seen on active weekdays. The short resolution window leaves minimal scope for a late surge, keeping elevated brackets at negligible odds while reflecting real-capital consensus on moderate weekend output.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano<40 64%
40-64 35%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$430,544 Wol.
$430,544 Wol.
Aug 17, 2026
<40
64%
40-64
35%
65-89
<1%
90-114
<1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
<40 64%
40-64 35%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$430,544 Wol.
$430,544 Wol.
Aug 17, 2026
<40
$117,456 Wol.
64%
40-64
$68,868 Wol.
35%
65-89
$91,042 Wol.
<1%
90-114
$67,031 Wol.
<1%
115-139
$48,694 Wol.
<1%
140-164
$16,923 Wol.
<1%
165-189
$8,347 Wol.
<1%
190-214
$3,264 Wol.
<1%
215-239
$4,806 Wol.
<1%
240+
$4,113 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Weekend timing across August 15–17 has anchored trader sentiment toward the sub-40 and 40-64 tweet ranges, which command 63.5% and 36.5% implied probability respectively. Historical patterns show Elon Musk’s posting volume typically moderates on weekends absent major Tesla, SpaceX, or regulatory catalysts, with recent trackers indicating daily averages near 24 posts during comparable stretches. Subdued news flow and the absence of high-profile product launches or viral moments have reinforced measured activity rather than the sustained threading seen on active weekdays. The short resolution window leaves minimal scope for a late surge, keeping elevated brackets at negligible odds while reflecting real-capital consensus on moderate weekend output.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$430,544Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Weekend timing across August 15–17 has anchored trader sentiment toward the sub-40 and 40-64 tweet ranges, which command 63.5% and 36.5% implied probability respectively. Historical patterns show Elon Musk’s posting volume typically moderates on weekends absent major Tesla, SpaceX, or regulatory catalysts, with recent trackers indicating daily averages near 24 posts during comparable stretches. Subdued news flow and the absence of high-profile product launches or viral moments have reinforced measured activity rather than the sustained threading seen on active weekdays. The short resolution window leaves minimal scope for a late surge, keeping elevated brackets at negligible odds while reflecting real-capital consensus on moderate weekend output.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$430,544Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Weekend timing across August 15–17 has anchored trader sentiment toward the sub-40 and 40-64 tweet ranges, which command 63.5% and 36.5% implied probability respectively. Historical patterns show Elon Musk’s posting volume typically moderates on weekends absent major Tesla, SpaceX, or regulatory catalysts, with recent trackers indicating daily averages near 24 posts during comparable stretches. Subdued news flow and the absence of high-profile product launches or viral moments have reinforced measured activity rather than the sustained threading seen on active weekdays. The short resolution window leaves minimal scope for a late surge, keeping elevated brackets at negligible odds while reflecting real-capital consensus on moderate weekend output.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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