Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X underpins the market’s 100% alignment with the 180-199 tweet bracket for the August 7-14 window. Recent tracking shows daily outputs frequently reaching 25–40 posts, including replies, media, and commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI developments, with one verified day hitting 41 posts. This rhythm aligns precisely with the eight-day total implied by trader consensus. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown—such as extended travel, a major offline focus, or deliberate restraint—yet Musk’s history of sustained activity during comparable business cycles makes such a shift improbable before the period closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano180-199 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$3,484,769 Wol.
$3,484,769 Wol.
Aug 14, 2026
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
Yes
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
180-199 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$3,484,769 Wol.
$3,484,769 Wol.
Aug 14, 2026
<20
$6,564 Wol.
No
20-39
$4,245 Wol.
No
40-59
$7,237 Wol.
No
60-79
$31,347 Wol.
No
80-99
$105,676 Wol.
No
100-119
$283,000 Wol.
No
120-139
$403,992 Wol.
No
140-159
$349,013 Wol.
No
160-179
$233,599 Wol.
No
180-199
$432,489 Wol.
Yes
200-219
$545,501 Wol.
No
220-239
$300,289 Wol.
No
240-259
$225,024 Wol.
No
260-279
$117,661 Wol.
No
280-299
$82,283 Wol.
No
300-319
$78,462 Wol.
No
320-339
$50,309 Wol.
No
340-359
$51,158 Wol.
No
360-379
$33,043 Wol.
No
380-399
$35,175 Wol.
No
400-419
$23,258 Wol.
No
420-439
$19,423 Wol.
No
440-459
$12,673 Wol.
No
460-479
$10,346 Wol.
No
480-499
$10,196 Wol.
No
500+
$32,807 Wol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X underpins the market’s 100% alignment with the 180-199 tweet bracket for the August 7-14 window. Recent tracking shows daily outputs frequently reaching 25–40 posts, including replies, media, and commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI developments, with one verified day hitting 41 posts. This rhythm aligns precisely with the eight-day total implied by trader consensus. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown—such as extended travel, a major offline focus, or deliberate restraint—yet Musk’s history of sustained activity during comparable business cycles makes such a shift improbable before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,484,769Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X underpins the market’s 100% alignment with the 180-199 tweet bracket for the August 7-14 window. Recent tracking shows daily outputs frequently reaching 25–40 posts, including replies, media, and commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI developments, with one verified day hitting 41 posts. This rhythm aligns precisely with the eight-day total implied by trader consensus. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown—such as extended travel, a major offline focus, or deliberate restraint—yet Musk’s history of sustained activity during comparable business cycles makes such a shift improbable before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$3,484,769Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X underpins the market’s 100% alignment with the 180-199 tweet bracket for the August 7-14 window. Recent tracking shows daily outputs frequently reaching 25–40 posts, including replies, media, and commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI developments, with one verified day hitting 41 posts. This rhythm aligns precisely with the eight-day total implied by trader consensus. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown—such as extended travel, a major offline focus, or deliberate restraint—yet Musk’s history of sustained activity during comparable business cycles makes such a shift improbable before the period closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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