Current forecast consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) models supports a daily maximum near 23°C in Amsterdam on August 16 under stable high-pressure conditions, light easterly winds, and partly sunny skies that limit additional daytime heating. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 21–22°C. Official observations will determine the exact peak, with trader positioning reflecting high confidence in the 23°C bin. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover reducing insolation, stronger winds enhancing mixing, or localized measurement variations at the primary reporting station, though model agreement and current conditions make such deviations unlikely.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 16?
23°C 99.4%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
$63,626 Wol.
$63,626 Wol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
99%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 99.4%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
$63,626 Wol.
$63,626 Wol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
99%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) models supports a daily maximum near 23°C in Amsterdam on August 16 under stable high-pressure conditions, light easterly winds, and partly sunny skies that limit additional daytime heating. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 21–22°C. Official observations will determine the exact peak, with trader positioning reflecting high confidence in the 23°C bin. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover reducing insolation, stronger winds enhancing mixing, or localized measurement variations at the primary reporting station, though model agreement and current conditions make such deviations unlikely.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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