Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a Monday high in the mid- to upper 70s for Chicago, driven by a cooler northwest flow and moderating influence from Lake Michigan that suppresses afternoon mixing and caps temperatures below seasonal normals near 82°F. Ensemble model consensus shows limited diurnal heating under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with any lake breeze reinforcing the 74–79°F window that currently dominates market-implied odds at roughly 83 percent combined. Recent resolution of the prior day’s market at 80–81°F underscores traders’ sensitivity to short-term pattern shifts, while upcoming afternoon updates from the Chicago NWS office remain the key near-term catalyst for any further refinement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on August 24?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 24?
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 31%
74-75°F 13%
80-81°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 31%
74-75°F 13%
80-81°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
$72 Wol.
1%
70-71°F
$93 Wol.
3%
72-73°F
$73 Wol.
4%
74-75°F
$260 Wol.
13%
76-77°F
$430 Wol.
40%
78-79°F
$160 Wol.
31%
80-81°F
$200 Wol.
6%
82-83°F
$118 Wol.
2%
84-85°F
$36 Wol.
2%
86-87°F
$40 Wol.
1%
88°F or higher
$110 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a Monday high in the mid- to upper 70s for Chicago, driven by a cooler northwest flow and moderating influence from Lake Michigan that suppresses afternoon mixing and caps temperatures below seasonal normals near 82°F. Ensemble model consensus shows limited diurnal heating under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with any lake breeze reinforcing the 74–79°F window that currently dominates market-implied odds at roughly 83 percent combined. Recent resolution of the prior day’s market at 80–81°F underscores traders’ sensitivity to short-term pattern shifts, while upcoming afternoon updates from the Chicago NWS office remain the key near-term catalyst for any further refinement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,592Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a Monday high in the mid- to upper 70s for Chicago, driven by a cooler northwest flow and moderating influence from Lake Michigan that suppresses afternoon mixing and caps temperatures below seasonal normals near 82°F. Ensemble model consensus shows limited diurnal heating under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with any lake breeze reinforcing the 74–79°F window that currently dominates market-implied odds at roughly 83 percent combined. Recent resolution of the prior day’s market at 80–81°F underscores traders’ sensitivity to short-term pattern shifts, while upcoming afternoon updates from the Chicago NWS office remain the key near-term catalyst for any further refinement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,592Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a Monday high in the mid- to upper 70s for Chicago, driven by a cooler northwest flow and moderating influence from Lake Michigan that suppresses afternoon mixing and caps temperatures below seasonal normals near 82°F. Ensemble model consensus shows limited diurnal heating under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with any lake breeze reinforcing the 74–79°F window that currently dominates market-implied odds at roughly 83 percent combined. Recent resolution of the prior day’s market at 80–81°F underscores traders’ sensitivity to short-term pattern shifts, while upcoming afternoon updates from the Chicago NWS office remain the key near-term catalyst for any further refinement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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