Latest National Weather Service model consensus positions Dallas maximum temperatures for August 29 in the 100–101°F range as the most probable outcome, reflecting a strong high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and typical late-summer insolation over North Texas. Traders have concentrated 82.5% implied probability across the 100–103°F bins, consistent with ensemble guidance showing limited day-to-day variability this close to the event. Historical August climatology for Dallas supports afternoon highs near 100°F under similar synoptic patterns, while any late-model shift in boundary-layer moisture or wind could nudge readings into the adjacent 102–103°F category. Updated NWS forecast discussions and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the final data for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Dallas on August 29?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 29?
100-101°F 53%
102-103°F 30%
98-99°F 11%
104-105°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
95°F or below
1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
11%
100-101°F
53%
102-103°F
30%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 53%
102-103°F 30%
98-99°F 11%
104-105°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
95°F or below
$32 Wol.
1%
96-97°F
$278 Wol.
2%
98-99°F
$245 Wol.
11%
100-101°F
$1,718 Wol.
53%
102-103°F
$553 Wol.
30%
104-105°F
$54 Wol.
6%
106-107°F
$127 Wol.
4%
108-109°F
$88 Wol.
<1%
110-111°F
$36 Wol.
<1%
112-113°F
$277 Wol.
<1%
114°F or higher
$235 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service model consensus positions Dallas maximum temperatures for August 29 in the 100–101°F range as the most probable outcome, reflecting a strong high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and typical late-summer insolation over North Texas. Traders have concentrated 82.5% implied probability across the 100–103°F bins, consistent with ensemble guidance showing limited day-to-day variability this close to the event. Historical August climatology for Dallas supports afternoon highs near 100°F under similar synoptic patterns, while any late-model shift in boundary-layer moisture or wind could nudge readings into the adjacent 102–103°F category. Updated NWS forecast discussions and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the final data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,642Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service model consensus positions Dallas maximum temperatures for August 29 in the 100–101°F range as the most probable outcome, reflecting a strong high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and typical late-summer insolation over North Texas. Traders have concentrated 82.5% implied probability across the 100–103°F bins, consistent with ensemble guidance showing limited day-to-day variability this close to the event. Historical August climatology for Dallas supports afternoon highs near 100°F under similar synoptic patterns, while any late-model shift in boundary-layer moisture or wind could nudge readings into the adjacent 102–103°F category. Updated NWS forecast discussions and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the final data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,642Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service model consensus positions Dallas maximum temperatures for August 29 in the 100–101°F range as the most probable outcome, reflecting a strong high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and typical late-summer insolation over North Texas. Traders have concentrated 82.5% implied probability across the 100–103°F bins, consistent with ensemble guidance showing limited day-to-day variability this close to the event. Historical August climatology for Dallas supports afternoon highs near 100°F under similar synoptic patterns, while any late-model shift in boundary-layer moisture or wind could nudge readings into the adjacent 102–103°F category. Updated NWS forecast discussions and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the final data for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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