Forecast models indicate a peak of 29–30°C in Istanbul on September 6 under sunny, stable high-pressure conditions with light northerly winds, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 35% and 24% implied probability. Early September climatology shows average highs near 26–28°C, but recent observations of 29–31°C and consistent ensemble guidance support modest warming without significant advection or moisture. Low precipitation risk and minimal cloud cover further constrain variability, while model spread on exact diurnal timing keeps 28°C and 31°C+ probabilities lower. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF on September 5 will refine the final maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 6?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 6?
29°C 35%
30°C 25%
28°C 24%
27°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
24%
29°C
35%
30°C
25%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
29°C 35%
30°C 25%
28°C 24%
27°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
$50 Wol.
3%
26°C
$72 Wol.
3%
27°C
$50 Wol.
7%
28°C
$170 Wol.
24%
29°C
$157 Wol.
35%
30°C
$245 Wol.
25%
31°C
$377 Wol.
6%
32°C
$34 Wol.
4%
33°C
$151 Wol.
1%
34°C
$3 Wol.
1%
35°C or higher
$3 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models indicate a peak of 29–30°C in Istanbul on September 6 under sunny, stable high-pressure conditions with light northerly winds, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 35% and 24% implied probability. Early September climatology shows average highs near 26–28°C, but recent observations of 29–31°C and consistent ensemble guidance support modest warming without significant advection or moisture. Low precipitation risk and minimal cloud cover further constrain variability, while model spread on exact diurnal timing keeps 28°C and 31°C+ probabilities lower. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF on September 5 will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,312Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models indicate a peak of 29–30°C in Istanbul on September 6 under sunny, stable high-pressure conditions with light northerly winds, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 35% and 24% implied probability. Early September climatology shows average highs near 26–28°C, but recent observations of 29–31°C and consistent ensemble guidance support modest warming without significant advection or moisture. Low precipitation risk and minimal cloud cover further constrain variability, while model spread on exact diurnal timing keeps 28°C and 31°C+ probabilities lower. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF on September 5 will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,312Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models indicate a peak of 29–30°C in Istanbul on September 6 under sunny, stable high-pressure conditions with light northerly winds, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 35% and 24% implied probability. Early September climatology shows average highs near 26–28°C, but recent observations of 29–31°C and consistent ensemble guidance support modest warming without significant advection or moisture. Low precipitation risk and minimal cloud cover further constrain variability, while model spread on exact diurnal timing keeps 28°C and 31°C+ probabilities lower. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF on September 5 will refine the final maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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