Recent meteorological forecasts project Istanbul's daily minimum temperature on September 6 to reach 19°C overnight, driven by clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions typical for early September. Observed early-morning readings near 20–21°C align with model consensus from agencies including the Met Office, which anticipates an 18–19°C low amid seasonal norms around 19–20°C. Trader consensus at 91% implied probability for 19°C reflects this evidence-based outlook, though genuine uncertainty persists in precise hourly minima. Shifts in wind speed, increased cloud cover, or localized urban heat effects could realistically push the actual low to 18°C or 20°C before final observations close the market window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 6?
13°C or below 12%
14°C 10%
15°C 10%
20°C <1%
13°C or below
12%
14°C
10%
15°C
10%
16°C
-
17°C
32%
18°C
38%
19°C
67%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
13°C or below 12%
14°C 10%
15°C 10%
20°C <1%
13°C or below
12%
14°C
10%
15°C
10%
16°C
-
17°C
32%
18°C
38%
19°C
67%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts project Istanbul's daily minimum temperature on September 6 to reach 19°C overnight, driven by clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions typical for early September. Observed early-morning readings near 20–21°C align with model consensus from agencies including the Met Office, which anticipates an 18–19°C low amid seasonal norms around 19–20°C. Trader consensus at 91% implied probability for 19°C reflects this evidence-based outlook, though genuine uncertainty persists in precise hourly minima. Shifts in wind speed, increased cloud cover, or localized urban heat effects could realistically push the actual low to 18°C or 20°C before final observations close the market window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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