Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature in Jinan on August 29 most likely between 27–29°C, driven by lingering monsoon influences, moderate southerly flow, and scattered thunderstorms that limit full solar heating. Recent observations show a cooling trend from late-August peaks near 32–34°C, with increased cloud cover and precipitation probability (40–70% in models) expected to cap daytime highs while keeping them well above seasonal norms for late summer. This consensus, supported by ensemble runs showing limited downside risk from heavier rain or stronger northerly shifts, underpins the dominant market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. Updated model guidance and official briefings in the final hours before resolution remain key variables.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Jinan on August 29?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 29?
26°C or higher 93%
24°C 4%
25°C 4%
22°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
93%
26°C or higher 93%
24°C 4%
25°C 4%
22°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
16°C or below
$115 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$115 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$115 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$105 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$105 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$115 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Wol.
1%
23°C
$0 Wol.
1%
24°C
$0 Wol.
4%
25°C
$0 Wol.
4%
26°C or higher
$11 Wol.
93%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature in Jinan on August 29 most likely between 27–29°C, driven by lingering monsoon influences, moderate southerly flow, and scattered thunderstorms that limit full solar heating. Recent observations show a cooling trend from late-August peaks near 32–34°C, with increased cloud cover and precipitation probability (40–70% in models) expected to cap daytime highs while keeping them well above seasonal norms for late summer. This consensus, supported by ensemble runs showing limited downside risk from heavier rain or stronger northerly shifts, underpins the dominant market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. Updated model guidance and official briefings in the final hours before resolution remain key variables.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$681Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature in Jinan on August 29 most likely between 27–29°C, driven by lingering monsoon influences, moderate southerly flow, and scattered thunderstorms that limit full solar heating. Recent observations show a cooling trend from late-August peaks near 32–34°C, with increased cloud cover and precipitation probability (40–70% in models) expected to cap daytime highs while keeping them well above seasonal norms for late summer. This consensus, supported by ensemble runs showing limited downside risk from heavier rain or stronger northerly shifts, underpins the dominant market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. Updated model guidance and official briefings in the final hours before resolution remain key variables.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$681Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature in Jinan on August 29 most likely between 27–29°C, driven by lingering monsoon influences, moderate southerly flow, and scattered thunderstorms that limit full solar heating. Recent observations show a cooling trend from late-August peaks near 32–34°C, with increased cloud cover and precipitation probability (40–70% in models) expected to cap daytime highs while keeping them well above seasonal norms for late summer. This consensus, supported by ensemble runs showing limited downside risk from heavier rain or stronger northerly shifts, underpins the dominant market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. Updated model guidance and official briefings in the final hours before resolution remain key variables.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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