Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather, WeatherBug, and Chinese meteorological updates project a high of 30–32°C in Jinan on September 4 under mostly sunny to clear conditions with northeast winds of 3–4 on the Beaufort scale. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology for the region, where daytime maxima often reach the upper 20s to low 30s before seasonal cooling accelerates later in the month. Model consensus shows minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, supporting sustained daytime heating. The market’s 78.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this strong alignment across official guidance, while the low single-digit odds on cooler outcomes capture residual uncertainty from any late forecast adjustments or localized variations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Jinan on September 4?
26°C or higher 78%
18°C 4%
19°C 4%
20°C 4%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
78%
26°C or higher 78%
18°C 4%
19°C 4%
20°C 4%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather, WeatherBug, and Chinese meteorological updates project a high of 30–32°C in Jinan on September 4 under mostly sunny to clear conditions with northeast winds of 3–4 on the Beaufort scale. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology for the region, where daytime maxima often reach the upper 20s to low 30s before seasonal cooling accelerates later in the month. Model consensus shows minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, supporting sustained daytime heating. The market’s 78.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this strong alignment across official guidance, while the low single-digit odds on cooler outcomes capture residual uncertainty from any late forecast adjustments or localized variations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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