Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate predominantly clear skies and northeasterly flow over Jinan on September 3, supporting a maximum temperature near 30–31°C under stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn in the North China Plain. This aligns with the market's 98.6% implied probability for 26°C or higher, consistent with climatological baselines where September daily highs average 27–29°C and recent observations show minimal cloud cover or moisture advection. Traders appear to weight the strong model consensus and lack of incoming frontal systems heavily. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in low-level moisture or rapid boundary-layer cooling from an unexpected short-wave trough, though current guidance shows low uncertainty through the 48-hour window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Jinan on September 3?
Highest temperature in Jinan on September 3?
26°C or higher 98.8%
25°C 1.4%
22°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 98.8%
25°C 1.4%
22°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
16°C or below
$1,125 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$1,125 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$1,134 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$1,130 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$238 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$347 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$340 Wol.
1%
23°C
$38 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$26 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$490 Wol.
1%
26°C or higher
$2,017 Wol.
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate predominantly clear skies and northeasterly flow over Jinan on September 3, supporting a maximum temperature near 30–31°C under stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn in the North China Plain. This aligns with the market's 98.6% implied probability for 26°C or higher, consistent with climatological baselines where September daily highs average 27–29°C and recent observations show minimal cloud cover or moisture advection. Traders appear to weight the strong model consensus and lack of incoming frontal systems heavily. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in low-level moisture or rapid boundary-layer cooling from an unexpected short-wave trough, though current guidance shows low uncertainty through the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,010Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate predominantly clear skies and northeasterly flow over Jinan on September 3, supporting a maximum temperature near 30–31°C under stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn in the North China Plain. This aligns with the market's 98.6% implied probability for 26°C or higher, consistent with climatological baselines where September daily highs average 27–29°C and recent observations show minimal cloud cover or moisture advection. Traders appear to weight the strong model consensus and lack of incoming frontal systems heavily. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in low-level moisture or rapid boundary-layer cooling from an unexpected short-wave trough, though current guidance shows low uncertainty through the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,010Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate predominantly clear skies and northeasterly flow over Jinan on September 3, supporting a maximum temperature near 30–31°C under stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn in the North China Plain. This aligns with the market's 98.6% implied probability for 26°C or higher, consistent with climatological baselines where September daily highs average 27–29°C and recent observations show minimal cloud cover or moisture advection. Traders appear to weight the strong model consensus and lack of incoming frontal systems heavily. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in low-level moisture or rapid boundary-layer cooling from an unexpected short-wave trough, though current guidance shows low uncertainty through the 48-hour window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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