Traders assign near-certainty to a 40°C high in Lucknow on June 10 because India Meteorological Department forecasts and multiple model runs project a maximum near that threshold under prevailing pre-monsoon conditions. Early June climatology for the region shows average daily highs of 39–40°C, with limited intensification expected today due to moderate westerly winds and increasing humidity ahead of seasonal rains. Official observations from prior days recorded 40–42°C without extreme heat-wave criteria being met. The market-implied outcome aligns with this consensus; only a sharp, unexpected spike from delayed cloud cover or localized warming could push readings to 41°C or higher before sunset.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 10?
40°C 100.0%
39°C or below <1%
41°C <1%
42°C <1%
$48,144 Wol.
$48,144 Wol.
39°C or below
No
40°C
Yes
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C or higher
No
40°C 100.0%
39°C or below <1%
41°C <1%
42°C <1%
$48,144 Wol.
$48,144 Wol.
39°C or below
No
40°C
Yes
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 8, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Traders assign near-certainty to a 40°C high in Lucknow on June 10 because India Meteorological Department forecasts and multiple model runs project a maximum near that threshold under prevailing pre-monsoon conditions. Early June climatology for the region shows average daily highs of 39–40°C, with limited intensification expected today due to moderate westerly winds and increasing humidity ahead of seasonal rains. Official observations from prior days recorded 40–42°C without extreme heat-wave criteria being met. The market-implied outcome aligns with this consensus; only a sharp, unexpected spike from delayed cloud cover or localized warming could push readings to 41°C or higher before sunset.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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