Trader consensus heavily favors a 17°C maximum in Cape Town on June 10, reflecting current South African Weather Service observations and short-range model guidance showing highs near 17–18°C under typical winter conditions. June climatology for the region places average daily maxima at approximately 17°C, with low variability driven by the prevailing westerly flow and marine influence from the cold Benguela Current. Official forecasts indicate stable temperatures without significant warm advection or berg wind events that could push readings higher. A realistic shift away from 17°C would require rapid changes in synoptic patterns or measurement discrepancies at official stations, though such deviations remain improbable given the tight model agreement and proximity to resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 10?
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$43,976 Wol.
$43,976 Wol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$43,976 Wol.
$43,976 Wol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 8, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus heavily favors a 17°C maximum in Cape Town on June 10, reflecting current South African Weather Service observations and short-range model guidance showing highs near 17–18°C under typical winter conditions. June climatology for the region places average daily maxima at approximately 17°C, with low variability driven by the prevailing westerly flow and marine influence from the cold Benguela Current. Official forecasts indicate stable temperatures without significant warm advection or berg wind events that could push readings higher. A realistic shift away from 17°C would require rapid changes in synoptic patterns or measurement discrepancies at official stations, though such deviations remain improbable given the tight model agreement and proximity to resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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