Recent forecast model consensus from regional meteorological agencies points to daytime highs in São Paulo around 29–30°C on August 13, driven by a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, reduced cloud cover, and enhanced solar insolation during the Southern Hemisphere winter. This setup contrasts with typical August climatology of 23–25°C maxima, where greater moisture or weaker ridging often limits peak heating. Key differentiators among the closely matched 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C outcomes include subtle variations in boundary-layer humidity, near-surface wind speeds, and urban heat-island effects within the São Paulo metro area, which can add 1–2°C locally under calm conditions. Updated runs expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 13?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 13?
30°C 33%
29°C 32%
31°C 20%
28°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
8%
29°C
32%
30°C
33%
31°C
20%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 33%
29°C 32%
31°C 20%
28°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
24°C or below
$37 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$33 Wol.
1%
26°C
$29 Wol.
1%
27°C
$23 Wol.
4%
28°C
$174 Wol.
8%
29°C
$553 Wol.
32%
30°C
$130 Wol.
33%
31°C
$179 Wol.
20%
32°C
$25 Wol.
2%
33°C
$11 Wol.
3%
34°C or higher
$317 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from regional meteorological agencies points to daytime highs in São Paulo around 29–30°C on August 13, driven by a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, reduced cloud cover, and enhanced solar insolation during the Southern Hemisphere winter. This setup contrasts with typical August climatology of 23–25°C maxima, where greater moisture or weaker ridging often limits peak heating. Key differentiators among the closely matched 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C outcomes include subtle variations in boundary-layer humidity, near-surface wind speeds, and urban heat-island effects within the São Paulo metro area, which can add 1–2°C locally under calm conditions. Updated runs expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,511Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from regional meteorological agencies points to daytime highs in São Paulo around 29–30°C on August 13, driven by a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, reduced cloud cover, and enhanced solar insolation during the Southern Hemisphere winter. This setup contrasts with typical August climatology of 23–25°C maxima, where greater moisture or weaker ridging often limits peak heating. Key differentiators among the closely matched 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C outcomes include subtle variations in boundary-layer humidity, near-surface wind speeds, and urban heat-island effects within the São Paulo metro area, which can add 1–2°C locally under calm conditions. Updated runs expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,511Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from regional meteorological agencies points to daytime highs in São Paulo around 29–30°C on August 13, driven by a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, reduced cloud cover, and enhanced solar insolation during the Southern Hemisphere winter. This setup contrasts with typical August climatology of 23–25°C maxima, where greater moisture or weaker ridging often limits peak heating. Key differentiators among the closely matched 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C outcomes include subtle variations in boundary-layer humidity, near-surface wind speeds, and urban heat-island effects within the São Paulo metro area, which can add 1–2°C locally under calm conditions. Updated runs expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania