Latest forecast guidance from regional and global models points to a warming trend over São Paulo on August 13, with a strong subtropical ridge limiting cloud cover and enhancing daytime heating amid above-average seasonal temperatures across southeast Brazil. This setup favors peak readings near 29–30°C, though subtle differences in model timing of any weak frontal passage or boundary-layer moisture could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh historical August climatology (typical highs 23–25°C) against current ensemble spreads and rapid model updates expected from NHC and INMET monitoring, creating tight odds between the leading outcomes as surface observations and 48-hour runs refine the thermal profile before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 13?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 13?
30°C 34%
29°C 28%
31°C 20%
28°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
28%
30°C
34%
31°C
20%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 34%
29°C 28%
31°C 20%
28°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
24°C or below
$37 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$33 Wol.
1%
26°C
$29 Wol.
1%
27°C
$23 Wol.
3%
28°C
$174 Wol.
8%
29°C
$638 Wol.
28%
30°C
$139 Wol.
34%
31°C
$229 Wol.
20%
32°C
$43 Wol.
3%
33°C
$17 Wol.
2%
34°C or higher
$383 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from regional and global models points to a warming trend over São Paulo on August 13, with a strong subtropical ridge limiting cloud cover and enhancing daytime heating amid above-average seasonal temperatures across southeast Brazil. This setup favors peak readings near 29–30°C, though subtle differences in model timing of any weak frontal passage or boundary-layer moisture could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh historical August climatology (typical highs 23–25°C) against current ensemble spreads and rapid model updates expected from NHC and INMET monitoring, creating tight odds between the leading outcomes as surface observations and 48-hour runs refine the thermal profile before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,707Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from regional and global models points to a warming trend over São Paulo on August 13, with a strong subtropical ridge limiting cloud cover and enhancing daytime heating amid above-average seasonal temperatures across southeast Brazil. This setup favors peak readings near 29–30°C, though subtle differences in model timing of any weak frontal passage or boundary-layer moisture could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh historical August climatology (typical highs 23–25°C) against current ensemble spreads and rapid model updates expected from NHC and INMET monitoring, creating tight odds between the leading outcomes as surface observations and 48-hour runs refine the thermal profile before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,707Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from regional and global models points to a warming trend over São Paulo on August 13, with a strong subtropical ridge limiting cloud cover and enhancing daytime heating amid above-average seasonal temperatures across southeast Brazil. This setup favors peak readings near 29–30°C, though subtle differences in model timing of any weak frontal passage or boundary-layer moisture could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh historical August climatology (typical highs 23–25°C) against current ensemble spreads and rapid model updates expected from NHC and INMET monitoring, creating tight odds between the leading outcomes as surface observations and 48-hour runs refine the thermal profile before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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