Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a high-pressure ridge rebuilding over the Pacific Northwest, favoring afternoon highs in the upper 70s to low 80s for Seattle on August 13 amid typical summer onshore flow and marine-layer moderation. Subtle model differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and sea-breeze strength explain the tight clustering around 78–81 °F outcomes, with warmer scenarios tied to clearer skies and lighter winds allowing greater insolation. The developing El Niño pattern supports a broader seasonal tendency for above-normal temperatures in the region, yet short-term variability keeps the market-implied odds distributed across narrow bins rather than favoring extremes. Updated model runs and NWS forecast discussions remain the key near-term drivers for any shifts in trader positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seattle on August 13?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 13?
80-81°F 38%
78-79°F 31%
82-83°F 21%
76-77°F 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 38%
78-79°F 31%
82-83°F 21%
76-77°F 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
73°F or below
$23 Wol.
1%
74-75°F
$14 Wol.
3%
76-77°F
$6 Wol.
7%
78-79°F
$14 Wol.
31%
80-81°F
$33 Wol.
38%
82-83°F
$47 Wol.
21%
84-85°F
$1 Wol.
5%
86-87°F
$88 Wol.
2%
88-89°F
$52 Wol.
1%
90-91°F
$11 Wol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$202 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a high-pressure ridge rebuilding over the Pacific Northwest, favoring afternoon highs in the upper 70s to low 80s for Seattle on August 13 amid typical summer onshore flow and marine-layer moderation. Subtle model differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and sea-breeze strength explain the tight clustering around 78–81 °F outcomes, with warmer scenarios tied to clearer skies and lighter winds allowing greater insolation. The developing El Niño pattern supports a broader seasonal tendency for above-normal temperatures in the region, yet short-term variability keeps the market-implied odds distributed across narrow bins rather than favoring extremes. Updated model runs and NWS forecast discussions remain the key near-term drivers for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$491Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a high-pressure ridge rebuilding over the Pacific Northwest, favoring afternoon highs in the upper 70s to low 80s for Seattle on August 13 amid typical summer onshore flow and marine-layer moderation. Subtle model differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and sea-breeze strength explain the tight clustering around 78–81 °F outcomes, with warmer scenarios tied to clearer skies and lighter winds allowing greater insolation. The developing El Niño pattern supports a broader seasonal tendency for above-normal temperatures in the region, yet short-term variability keeps the market-implied odds distributed across narrow bins rather than favoring extremes. Updated model runs and NWS forecast discussions remain the key near-term drivers for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$491Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a high-pressure ridge rebuilding over the Pacific Northwest, favoring afternoon highs in the upper 70s to low 80s for Seattle on August 13 amid typical summer onshore flow and marine-layer moderation. Subtle model differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and sea-breeze strength explain the tight clustering around 78–81 °F outcomes, with warmer scenarios tied to clearer skies and lighter winds allowing greater insolation. The developing El Niño pattern supports a broader seasonal tendency for above-normal temperatures in the region, yet short-term variability keeps the market-implied odds distributed across narrow bins rather than favoring extremes. Updated model runs and NWS forecast discussions remain the key near-term drivers for any shifts in trader positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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