Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from models such as those run by the Israeli Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 5, driven by persistent high pressure, light westerly flow, and partly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating while maintaining typical early-September humidity levels around 50–60%. Short-range forecasts issued September 3 show stable 30–32°C highs with minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming fronts or enhanced insolation expected through the period. Trader emphasis on the 32°C outcome reflects this tight clustering of guidance, while lower probabilities for 33°C or above acknowledge residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover evolution ahead of final model updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 5?
32°C 64%
33°C 16%
31°C 16%
34°C 14%
29°C or below
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
16%
32°C
64%
33°C
16%
34°C
14%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 64%
33°C 16%
31°C 16%
34°C 14%
29°C or below
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
16%
32°C
64%
33°C
16%
34°C
14%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from models such as those run by the Israeli Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 5, driven by persistent high pressure, light westerly flow, and partly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating while maintaining typical early-September humidity levels around 50–60%. Short-range forecasts issued September 3 show stable 30–32°C highs with minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming fronts or enhanced insolation expected through the period. Trader emphasis on the 32°C outcome reflects this tight clustering of guidance, while lower probabilities for 33°C or above acknowledge residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover evolution ahead of final model updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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