**Official Environment Canada guidance points to a daytime high of 26°C in Toronto on August 13 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 30–40% chance of showers, keeping the market-implied edge on 27–28°C.** Recent model consensus and the moderating influence of Lake Ontario support this baseline, yet short-term variability in cloud timing and any convective development could allow brief periods of stronger insolation to lift the maximum into the upper 20s. Traders appear to weigh the risk of reduced shower activity or slightly warmer boundary-layer air against the official projection, producing tight probabilities between 27°C and 28°C. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will remain the key catalysts ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Toronto on August 13?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 13?
28°C 39%
27°C 35%
29°C 11%
26°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
35%
28°C
39%
29°C
11%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
28°C 39%
27°C 35%
29°C 11%
26°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
21°C or below
$103 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$29 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$35 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$9 Wol.
1%
25°C
$10 Wol.
4%
26°C
$0 Wol.
7%
27°C
$240 Wol.
35%
28°C
$155 Wol.
39%
29°C
$186 Wol.
11%
30°C
$34 Wol.
2%
31°C or higher
$15 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official Environment Canada guidance points to a daytime high of 26°C in Toronto on August 13 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 30–40% chance of showers, keeping the market-implied edge on 27–28°C.** Recent model consensus and the moderating influence of Lake Ontario support this baseline, yet short-term variability in cloud timing and any convective development could allow brief periods of stronger insolation to lift the maximum into the upper 20s. Traders appear to weigh the risk of reduced shower activity or slightly warmer boundary-layer air against the official projection, producing tight probabilities between 27°C and 28°C. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will remain the key catalysts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$816Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official Environment Canada guidance points to a daytime high of 26°C in Toronto on August 13 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 30–40% chance of showers, keeping the market-implied edge on 27–28°C.** Recent model consensus and the moderating influence of Lake Ontario support this baseline, yet short-term variability in cloud timing and any convective development could allow brief periods of stronger insolation to lift the maximum into the upper 20s. Traders appear to weigh the risk of reduced shower activity or slightly warmer boundary-layer air against the official projection, producing tight probabilities between 27°C and 28°C. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will remain the key catalysts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$816Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official Environment Canada guidance points to a daytime high of 26°C in Toronto on August 13 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 30–40% chance of showers, keeping the market-implied edge on 27–28°C.** Recent model consensus and the moderating influence of Lake Ontario support this baseline, yet short-term variability in cloud timing and any convective development could allow brief periods of stronger insolation to lift the maximum into the upper 20s. Traders appear to weigh the risk of reduced shower activity or slightly warmer boundary-layer air against the official projection, producing tight probabilities between 27°C and 28°C. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will remain the key catalysts ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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