Traders assign the highest implied probability to a peak temperature of 25°C in Zhengzhou on September 10, reflecting ensemble forecast consensus from global and regional models that place daytime maxima near seasonal norms for early autumn in the North China Plain. Key variables include the passage of a weak cold front, variable cloud cover and humidity levels, and local urban heat influences at the official Zhengzhou station. Lower odds for 27°C or above stem from limited southerly flow and potential for scattered showers, while cooler outcomes hinge on stronger northerly advection or earlier precipitation. High uncertainty arises from model spread in timing and intensity, with final resolution determined by verified maximum observations rather than forecasts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 10?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 10?
25°C 32%
24°C 19%
23°C 16%
26°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
22°C or below
4%
23°C
11%
24°C
14%
25°C
29%
26°C
23%
27°C
7%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
25°C 32%
24°C 19%
23°C 16%
26°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Wol.
4%
23°C
$14 Wol.
11%
24°C
$7 Wol.
14%
25°C
$7 Wol.
29%
26°C
$12 Wol.
23%
27°C
$0 Wol.
7%
28°C
$0 Wol.
6%
29°C
$0 Wol.
3%
30°C
$0 Wol.
3%
31°C
$0 Wol.
1%
32°C or higher
$0 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a peak temperature of 25°C in Zhengzhou on September 10, reflecting ensemble forecast consensus from global and regional models that place daytime maxima near seasonal norms for early autumn in the North China Plain. Key variables include the passage of a weak cold front, variable cloud cover and humidity levels, and local urban heat influences at the official Zhengzhou station. Lower odds for 27°C or above stem from limited southerly flow and potential for scattered showers, while cooler outcomes hinge on stronger northerly advection or earlier precipitation. High uncertainty arises from model spread in timing and intensity, with final resolution determined by verified maximum observations rather than forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$41Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a peak temperature of 25°C in Zhengzhou on September 10, reflecting ensemble forecast consensus from global and regional models that place daytime maxima near seasonal norms for early autumn in the North China Plain. Key variables include the passage of a weak cold front, variable cloud cover and humidity levels, and local urban heat influences at the official Zhengzhou station. Lower odds for 27°C or above stem from limited southerly flow and potential for scattered showers, while cooler outcomes hinge on stronger northerly advection or earlier precipitation. High uncertainty arises from model spread in timing and intensity, with final resolution determined by verified maximum observations rather than forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$41Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability to a peak temperature of 25°C in Zhengzhou on September 10, reflecting ensemble forecast consensus from global and regional models that place daytime maxima near seasonal norms for early autumn in the North China Plain. Key variables include the passage of a weak cold front, variable cloud cover and humidity levels, and local urban heat influences at the official Zhengzhou station. Lower odds for 27°C or above stem from limited southerly flow and potential for scattered showers, while cooler outcomes hinge on stronger northerly advection or earlier precipitation. High uncertainty arises from model spread in timing and intensity, with final resolution determined by verified maximum observations rather than forecasts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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