Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and elevated oil prices near $95 per barrel have lifted inflation expectations, driving the 5-year Treasury yield to 4.54-4.55% as of September 2, 2026—up notably from August levels around 4.35-4.4%. Hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole and other officials, including openness to a September rate hike if inflation persists, have reinforced "higher for longer" pricing, with market-implied odds for a 25-basis-point hike near 64%. The resilient U.S. economy and fiscal deficit concerns add upward pressure on yields. The September 15-16 FOMC meeting, featuring updated economic projections, stands as the key near-term catalyst that could shift the rate path and Treasury market dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
NOWE
Sep 30, 2026
Below 4.52%
51%
Below 4.49%
50%
Below 4.46%
50%
Below 4.43%
51%
Below 4.40%
50%
Below 4.37%
50%
Below 4.32%
50%
Below 4.27%
50%
Below 4.20%
51%
$0.00 Wol.
Below 4.52%
$0 Wol.
51%
Below 4.49%
$0 Wol.
50%
Below 4.46%
$0 Wol.
50%
Below 4.43%
$0 Wol.
51%
Below 4.40%
$0 Wol.
50%
Below 4.37%
$0 Wol.
50%
Below 4.32%
$0 Wol.
50%
Below 4.27%
$0 Wol.
50%
Below 4.20%
$0 Wol.
51%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and elevated oil prices near $95 per barrel have lifted inflation expectations, driving the 5-year Treasury yield to 4.54-4.55% as of September 2, 2026—up notably from August levels around 4.35-4.4%. Hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole and other officials, including openness to a September rate hike if inflation persists, have reinforced "higher for longer" pricing, with market-implied odds for a 25-basis-point hike near 64%. The resilient U.S. economy and fiscal deficit concerns add upward pressure on yields. The September 15-16 FOMC meeting, featuring updated economic projections, stands as the key near-term catalyst that could shift the rate path and Treasury market dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 8:45 PM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 8:45 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and elevated oil prices near $95 per barrel have lifted inflation expectations, driving the 5-year Treasury yield to 4.54-4.55% as of September 2, 2026—up notably from August levels around 4.35-4.4%. Hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole and other officials, including openness to a September rate hike if inflation persists, have reinforced "higher for longer" pricing, with market-implied odds for a 25-basis-point hike near 64%. The resilient U.S. economy and fiscal deficit concerns add upward pressure on yields. The September 15-16 FOMC meeting, featuring updated economic projections, stands as the key near-term catalyst that could shift the rate path and Treasury market dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 8:45 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and elevated oil prices near $95 per barrel have lifted inflation expectations, driving the 5-year Treasury yield to 4.54-4.55% as of September 2, 2026—up notably from August levels around 4.35-4.4%. Hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole and other officials, including openness to a September rate hike if inflation persists, have reinforced "higher for longer" pricing, with market-implied odds for a 25-basis-point hike near 64%. The resilient U.S. economy and fiscal deficit concerns add upward pressure on yields. The September 15-16 FOMC meeting, featuring updated economic projections, stands as the key near-term catalyst that could shift the rate path and Treasury market dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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