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icon for How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?
Polityka·Russia

How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?

icon for How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?
Polityka·Russia

How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?

<35 82%

35–44 5.9%

45–54 6%

55–64 4.8%

Polymarket
NOWE

<35 82%

35–44 5.9%

45–54 6%

55–64 4.8%

Polymarket
NOWE

<35

$248 Wol.

82%

35–44

$314 Wol.

6%

45–54

$40 Wol.

6%

55–64

$67 Wol.

5%

65–74

$102 Wol.

5%

75–84

$163 Wol.

3%

85+

$367 Wol.

2%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.New People (NL) enters the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma elections as a registered systemic opposition party holding 15 seats, with its federal list approved by the CEC in July after a July congress that named Alexey Nechaev, Vladislav Davankov, and Sardana Avksentieva at the top. Recent VCIOM and FOM surveys place its support in the 8–13% range—up from 5.3% in 2021—potentially supporting 30–50 proportional seats depending on turnout and distribution, yet the party has nominated candidates in only 83 single-member districts and operates within a framework where United Russia secures the large majority of seats through incumbency and regional machinery. Analysts note modest projected gains for NL regional groups but emphasize the 5% threshold, limited independent organizational depth compared with CPRF or LDPR, and the overall managed electoral environment that caps smaller parties’ totals. These factors underpin trader consensus around limited seat growth ahead of the vote.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Wolumen
$1,301
Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.New People (NL) enters the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma elections as a registered systemic opposition party holding 15 seats, with its federal list approved by the CEC in July after a July congress that named Alexey Nechaev, Vladislav Davankov, and Sardana Avksentieva at the top. Recent VCIOM and FOM surveys place its support in the 8–13% range—up from 5.3% in 2021—potentially supporting 30–50 proportional seats depending on turnout and distribution, yet the party has nominated candidates in only 83 single-member districts and operates within a framework where United Russia secures the large majority of seats through incumbency and regional machinery. Analysts note modest projected gains for NL regional groups but emphasize the 5% threshold, limited independent organizational depth compared with CPRF or LDPR, and the overall managed electoral environment that caps smaller parties’ totals. These factors underpin trader consensus around limited seat growth ahead of the vote.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Wolumen
$1,301
Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

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"How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 7 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "<35" z 82%, za nim "35–44" z 6%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 82¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 82% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Sep 1, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?", przeglądaj 7 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?" jest "<35" z 82%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 82% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "35–44" z 6%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

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