Official NOAA Storm Prediction Center data show July 2026 produced 109–111 confirmed U.S. tornadoes, aligning with the long-term July average of roughly 119 and placing the total squarely inside the 100–129 bin. This near-normal outcome reflects subdued mid-latitude instability, fewer Midwest outbreaks than in June, and limited tropical moisture influence, all verified through post-event surveys. Traders have converged on this range because preliminary reports and final counts have remained stable near 110 with minimal upward revisions expected. Only substantial late additions from reanalysis or previously unrated events could push the total above 129, an outcome viewed as low-probability given current verification trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow many Tornadoes in the US in July?
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?
100–129 97.6%
130–159 4.3%
160–189 2.0%
220–249 1.8%
$3,945 Wol.
$3,945 Wol.
Aug 1, 2026
<100
2%
100–129
98%
130–159
14%
160–189
15%
190–219
31%
220–249
2%
250–279
1%
280–310
24%
310+
1%
100–129 97.6%
130–159 4.3%
160–189 2.0%
220–249 1.8%
$3,945 Wol.
$3,945 Wol.
Aug 1, 2026
<100
$810 Wol.
2%
100–129
$675 Wol.
98%
130–159
$290 Wol.
14%
160–189
$356 Wol.
15%
190–219
$320 Wol.
31%
220–249
$303 Wol.
2%
250–279
$426 Wol.
1%
280–310
$423 Wol.
24%
310+
$342 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on August 10, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.Official NOAA Storm Prediction Center data show July 2026 produced 109–111 confirmed U.S. tornadoes, aligning with the long-term July average of roughly 119 and placing the total squarely inside the 100–129 bin. This near-normal outcome reflects subdued mid-latitude instability, fewer Midwest outbreaks than in June, and limited tropical moisture influence, all verified through post-event surveys. Traders have converged on this range because preliminary reports and final counts have remained stable near 110 with minimal upward revisions expected. Only substantial late additions from reanalysis or previously unrated events could push the total above 129, an outcome viewed as low-probability given current verification trends.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on August 10, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on August 10, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 9, 2026, 1:12 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,945Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 1:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on August 10, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.Official NOAA Storm Prediction Center data show July 2026 produced 109–111 confirmed U.S. tornadoes, aligning with the long-term July average of roughly 119 and placing the total squarely inside the 100–129 bin. This near-normal outcome reflects subdued mid-latitude instability, fewer Midwest outbreaks than in June, and limited tropical moisture influence, all verified through post-event surveys. Traders have converged on this range because preliminary reports and final counts have remained stable near 110 with minimal upward revisions expected. Only substantial late additions from reanalysis or previously unrated events could push the total above 129, an outcome viewed as low-probability given current verification trends.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on August 10, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on August 10, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Wolumen
$3,945Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 1:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official NOAA Storm Prediction Center data show July 2026 produced 109–111 confirmed U.S. tornadoes, aligning with the long-term July average of roughly 119 and placing the total squarely inside the 100–129 bin. This near-normal outcome reflects subdued mid-latitude instability, fewer Midwest outbreaks than in June, and limited tropical moisture influence, all verified through post-event surveys. Traders have converged on this range because preliminary reports and final counts have remained stable near 110 with minimal upward revisions expected. Only substantial late additions from reanalysis or previously unrated events could push the total above 129, an outcome viewed as low-probability given current verification trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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