Recent polling averages place Yisrael Beiteinu at roughly 7–9 Knesset seats, translating to vote shares clustered near the 5–7% range and keeping the two leading market outcomes closely matched. Avigdor Liberman’s early September slate launch emphasized mandatory military or national service without Haredi exemptions, a stance that reinforces the party’s secular, Russian-speaking voter base while drawing limited crossover from other right-leaning lists. A surplus-vote agreement with the Together party further stabilizes its position but does not expand its projected share. With the October 27 election six weeks away and no major new polling shifts or coalition realignments reported, traders see modest volatility around the current 5–7% band absent late-campaign developments on security, draft legislation, or turnout among immigrant communities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano6-7% 34%
<5% 22%
5-6% 20%
7-8% 20%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<5%
22%
5-6%
20%
6-7%
38%
7-8%
23%
8%+
16%
6-7% 34%
<5% 22%
5-6% 20%
7-8% 20%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<5%
$810 Wol.
22%
5-6%
$119 Wol.
20%
6-7%
$208 Wol.
38%
7-8%
$132 Wol.
23%
8%+
$47 Wol.
16%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling averages place Yisrael Beiteinu at roughly 7–9 Knesset seats, translating to vote shares clustered near the 5–7% range and keeping the two leading market outcomes closely matched. Avigdor Liberman’s early September slate launch emphasized mandatory military or national service without Haredi exemptions, a stance that reinforces the party’s secular, Russian-speaking voter base while drawing limited crossover from other right-leaning lists. A surplus-vote agreement with the Together party further stabilizes its position but does not expand its projected share. With the October 27 election six weeks away and no major new polling shifts or coalition realignments reported, traders see modest volatility around the current 5–7% band absent late-campaign developments on security, draft legislation, or turnout among immigrant communities.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,316Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling averages place Yisrael Beiteinu at roughly 7–9 Knesset seats, translating to vote shares clustered near the 5–7% range and keeping the two leading market outcomes closely matched. Avigdor Liberman’s early September slate launch emphasized mandatory military or national service without Haredi exemptions, a stance that reinforces the party’s secular, Russian-speaking voter base while drawing limited crossover from other right-leaning lists. A surplus-vote agreement with the Together party further stabilizes its position but does not expand its projected share. With the October 27 election six weeks away and no major new polling shifts or coalition realignments reported, traders see modest volatility around the current 5–7% band absent late-campaign developments on security, draft legislation, or turnout among immigrant communities.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Wolumen
$1,316Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Yisrael Beiteinu at roughly 7–9 Knesset seats, translating to vote shares clustered near the 5–7% range and keeping the two leading market outcomes closely matched. Avigdor Liberman’s early September slate launch emphasized mandatory military or national service without Haredi exemptions, a stance that reinforces the party’s secular, Russian-speaking voter base while drawing limited crossover from other right-leaning lists. A surplus-vote agreement with the Together party further stabilizes its position but does not expand its projected share. With the October 27 election six weeks away and no major new polling shifts or coalition realignments reported, traders see modest volatility around the current 5–7% band absent late-campaign developments on security, draft legislation, or turnout among immigrant communities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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