The October 27 Knesset election and subsequent official vote count have anchored trader consensus around a 5-6% share for Yisrael Beiteinu. Partial tallies through late October place the party at roughly 5.9% of valid votes, consistent with the final pre-election polling average of 7-8 seats and below the higher end of earlier surveys. Avigdor Lieberman’s repeated red lines against coalitions involving Benjamin Netanyahu, Haredi parties, or Arab lists have kept the party’s secular nationalist base intact without producing measurable late shifts. Remaining double-envelope ballots and final certification by the Central Elections Committee could still adjust the precise percentage within a narrow band, though current margins make outcomes outside 5-6% improbable.