US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon, the first direct diplomatic engagement since 1993, have advanced through four high-level rounds since mid-April 2026, producing a framework for negotiations on border security, sovereignty recognition, and a conditional ceasefire. The most recent session on June 2-3 yielded agreement on pilot security zones under Lebanese army control and a full cessation of Hezbollah attacks as a prerequisite, with parties scheduled to reconvene the political and security tracks the week of June 22. Trader assessments reflect sustained momentum from these confirmed sessions and US facilitation amid ongoing violations and Hezbollah rejection of the latest terms, tempered by uncertainty over implementation timelines and further direct meetings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
$33,496 Wol.
June 15
1%
June 22
66%
June 30
87%
$33,496 Wol.
June 15
1%
June 22
66%
June 30
87%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 9, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon, the first direct diplomatic engagement since 1993, have advanced through four high-level rounds since mid-April 2026, producing a framework for negotiations on border security, sovereignty recognition, and a conditional ceasefire. The most recent session on June 2-3 yielded agreement on pilot security zones under Lebanese army control and a full cessation of Hezbollah attacks as a prerequisite, with parties scheduled to reconvene the political and security tracks the week of June 22. Trader assessments reflect sustained momentum from these confirmed sessions and US facilitation amid ongoing violations and Hezbollah rejection of the latest terms, tempered by uncertainty over implementation timelines and further direct meetings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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