Recent diplomatic momentum centers on efforts to convert an April 2026 ceasefire into a longer-term settlement between the United States and Iran. President Trump stated on June 11 that a memorandum of understanding has been largely negotiated, citing provisions for reopening the Strait of Hormuz, extending the ceasefire by 60 days, and launching follow-on talks on Iran's nuclear program, while canceling planned strikes. Iranian officials have not confirmed approval, and final sign-off from both leaders remains pending. Core issues include limits on uranium enrichment, sanctions relief, disposal of highly enriched material, and ballistic missile constraints. Negotiations have involved mediators such as Pakistan and Oman, with earlier rounds in 2025–2026 yielding limited progress amid prior military exchanges. A signing ceremony has been referenced for the coming days, potentially in Europe, though timelines and scope could shift based on outstanding details.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNOWE
Jun 16, 2026
June 15
19%
June 22
35%
June 30
65%
July 31
65%
$140 Wol.
June 15
$7 Wol.
19%
June 22
$127 Wol.
35%
June 30
$0 Wol.
65%
July 31
$6 Wol.
65%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum centers on efforts to convert an April 2026 ceasefire into a longer-term settlement between the United States and Iran. President Trump stated on June 11 that a memorandum of understanding has been largely negotiated, citing provisions for reopening the Strait of Hormuz, extending the ceasefire by 60 days, and launching follow-on talks on Iran's nuclear program, while canceling planned strikes. Iranian officials have not confirmed approval, and final sign-off from both leaders remains pending. Core issues include limits on uranium enrichment, sanctions relief, disposal of highly enriched material, and ballistic missile constraints. Negotiations have involved mediators such as Pakistan and Oman, with earlier rounds in 2025–2026 yielding limited progress amid prior military exchanges. A signing ceremony has been referenced for the coming days, potentially in Europe, though timelines and scope could shift based on outstanding details.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Wolumen
$140Data zakończenia
Jul 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum centers on efforts to convert an April 2026 ceasefire into a longer-term settlement between the United States and Iran. President Trump stated on June 11 that a memorandum of understanding has been largely negotiated, citing provisions for reopening the Strait of Hormuz, extending the ceasefire by 60 days, and launching follow-on talks on Iran's nuclear program, while canceling planned strikes. Iranian officials have not confirmed approval, and final sign-off from both leaders remains pending. Core issues include limits on uranium enrichment, sanctions relief, disposal of highly enriched material, and ballistic missile constraints. Negotiations have involved mediators such as Pakistan and Oman, with earlier rounds in 2025–2026 yielding limited progress amid prior military exchanges. A signing ceremony has been referenced for the coming days, potentially in Europe, though timelines and scope could shift based on outstanding details.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$140Data zakończenia
Jul 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic momentum centers on efforts to convert an April 2026 ceasefire into a longer-term settlement between the United States and Iran. President Trump stated on June 11 that a memorandum of understanding has been largely negotiated, citing provisions for reopening the Strait of Hormuz, extending the ceasefire by 60 days, and launching follow-on talks on Iran's nuclear program, while canceling planned strikes. Iranian officials have not confirmed approval, and final sign-off from both leaders remains pending. Core issues include limits on uranium enrichment, sanctions relief, disposal of highly enriched material, and ballistic missile constraints. Negotiations have involved mediators such as Pakistan and Oman, with earlier rounds in 2025–2026 yielding limited progress amid prior military exchanges. A signing ceremony has been referenced for the coming days, potentially in Europe, though timelines and scope could shift based on outstanding details.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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