Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 19–21°C for Beijing on September 6, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. Historical averages for the date sit at 18.2°C, providing context for why traders cluster around 18–19°C outcomes despite some higher projections. The tight spread between leading probabilities reflects model spread in boundary-layer conditions and dew-point forecasts, with resolution hinging on official overnight readings from Beijing stations. A frontal shift or increased cloud cover could push the low lower, while persistent warmth would favor outcomes above 20°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Beijing on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 6?
24°C or higher 69%
20°C 37%
22°C 37%
19°C 36%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
14°C or below
8%
15°C
7%
16°C
18%
17°C
26%
18°C
33%
19°C
36%
20°C
37%
21°C
22%
22°C
37%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
69%
24°C or higher 69%
20°C 37%
22°C 37%
19°C 36%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Wol.
8%
15°C
$0 Wol.
7%
16°C
$0 Wol.
18%
17°C
$0 Wol.
26%
18°C
$64 Wol.
33%
19°C
$0 Wol.
36%
20°C
$0 Wol.
37%
21°C
$0 Wol.
22%
22°C
$0 Wol.
37%
23°C
$0 Wol.
2%
24°C or higher
$0 Wol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 19–21°C for Beijing on September 6, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. Historical averages for the date sit at 18.2°C, providing context for why traders cluster around 18–19°C outcomes despite some higher projections. The tight spread between leading probabilities reflects model spread in boundary-layer conditions and dew-point forecasts, with resolution hinging on official overnight readings from Beijing stations. A frontal shift or increased cloud cover could push the low lower, while persistent warmth would favor outcomes above 20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$64Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 19–21°C for Beijing on September 6, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. Historical averages for the date sit at 18.2°C, providing context for why traders cluster around 18–19°C outcomes despite some higher projections. The tight spread between leading probabilities reflects model spread in boundary-layer conditions and dew-point forecasts, with resolution hinging on official overnight readings from Beijing stations. A frontal shift or increased cloud cover could push the low lower, while persistent warmth would favor outcomes above 20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$64Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 19–21°C for Beijing on September 6, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. Historical averages for the date sit at 18.2°C, providing context for why traders cluster around 18–19°C outcomes despite some higher projections. The tight spread between leading probabilities reflects model spread in boundary-layer conditions and dew-point forecasts, with resolution hinging on official overnight readings from Beijing stations. A frontal shift or increased cloud cover could push the low lower, while persistent warmth would favor outcomes above 20°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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