Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a shift to northeasterly flow over Chicago this weekend, moderating temperatures after several days of 90s highs and 70s lows. Forecasts for the September 6 minimum center on the mid-60s°F range, consistent with onshore flow from Lake Michigan and reduced humidity under partly cloudy skies. This places the outcome near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 62.6°F for the date. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 62–71°F bins because small differences in overnight cloud cover, wind speed, or lake-effect moderation can shift the exact reading by a degree or two, while the low odds on 80°F+ or sub-62°F reflect limited support for extreme deviations from the consensus forecast. Updated model runs and official National Weather Service briefings ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Chicago on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on September 6?
61°F or below 69%
80°F or higher 59%
70-71°F 50%
62-63°F 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
61°F or below
69%
62-63°F
49%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
50%
72-73°F
48%
74-75°F
49%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
39%
80°F or higher
59%
61°F or below 69%
80°F or higher 59%
70-71°F 50%
62-63°F 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
61°F or below
$0 Wol.
69%
62-63°F
$0 Wol.
49%
64-65°F
$0 Wol.
26%
66-67°F
$0 Wol.
26%
68-69°F
$0 Wol.
26%
70-71°F
$0 Wol.
50%
72-73°F
$0 Wol.
48%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
49%
76-77°F
$0 Wol.
40%
78-79°F
$0 Wol.
39%
80°F or higher
$0 Wol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a shift to northeasterly flow over Chicago this weekend, moderating temperatures after several days of 90s highs and 70s lows. Forecasts for the September 6 minimum center on the mid-60s°F range, consistent with onshore flow from Lake Michigan and reduced humidity under partly cloudy skies. This places the outcome near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 62.6°F for the date. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 62–71°F bins because small differences in overnight cloud cover, wind speed, or lake-effect moderation can shift the exact reading by a degree or two, while the low odds on 80°F+ or sub-62°F reflect limited support for extreme deviations from the consensus forecast. Updated model runs and official National Weather Service briefings ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a shift to northeasterly flow over Chicago this weekend, moderating temperatures after several days of 90s highs and 70s lows. Forecasts for the September 6 minimum center on the mid-60s°F range, consistent with onshore flow from Lake Michigan and reduced humidity under partly cloudy skies. This places the outcome near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 62.6°F for the date. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 62–71°F bins because small differences in overnight cloud cover, wind speed, or lake-effect moderation can shift the exact reading by a degree or two, while the low odds on 80°F+ or sub-62°F reflect limited support for extreme deviations from the consensus forecast. Updated model runs and official National Weather Service briefings ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a shift to northeasterly flow over Chicago this weekend, moderating temperatures after several days of 90s highs and 70s lows. Forecasts for the September 6 minimum center on the mid-60s°F range, consistent with onshore flow from Lake Michigan and reduced humidity under partly cloudy skies. This places the outcome near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 62.6°F for the date. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 62–71°F bins because small differences in overnight cloud cover, wind speed, or lake-effect moderation can shift the exact reading by a degree or two, while the low odds on 80°F+ or sub-62°F reflect limited support for extreme deviations from the consensus forecast. Updated model runs and official National Weather Service briefings ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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