Current forecasts from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature in Guangzhou of 25–27°C on August 21, driven by persistent East Asian monsoon moisture, high humidity near 95%, and widespread cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. Scattered thunderstorms and light northeasterly flow further moderate the diurnal range, keeping the low from dropping toward the lower end of the historical August distribution. Trader consensus across the closely matched 25–27°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer details—such as exact cloud timing, urban heat-island effects at official stations, and model spread in steering patterns—rather than any single disruptive event. Updated CMA guidance and late-day observations will likely resolve the narrow spread before market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 21?
24°C 53%
27°C 36%
26°C 35%
25°C 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
53%
25°C
25%
26°C
35%
27°C
36%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
24°C 53%
27°C 36%
26°C 35%
25°C 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
$180 Wol.
1%
23°C
$182 Wol.
5%
24°C
$154 Wol.
53%
25°C
$94 Wol.
25%
26°C
$0 Wol.
35%
27°C
$8 Wol.
36%
28°C
$218 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$105 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$95 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$95 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$95 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature in Guangzhou of 25–27°C on August 21, driven by persistent East Asian monsoon moisture, high humidity near 95%, and widespread cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. Scattered thunderstorms and light northeasterly flow further moderate the diurnal range, keeping the low from dropping toward the lower end of the historical August distribution. Trader consensus across the closely matched 25–27°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer details—such as exact cloud timing, urban heat-island effects at official stations, and model spread in steering patterns—rather than any single disruptive event. Updated CMA guidance and late-day observations will likely resolve the narrow spread before market close.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,226Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature in Guangzhou of 25–27°C on August 21, driven by persistent East Asian monsoon moisture, high humidity near 95%, and widespread cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. Scattered thunderstorms and light northeasterly flow further moderate the diurnal range, keeping the low from dropping toward the lower end of the historical August distribution. Trader consensus across the closely matched 25–27°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer details—such as exact cloud timing, urban heat-island effects at official stations, and model spread in steering patterns—rather than any single disruptive event. Updated CMA guidance and late-day observations will likely resolve the narrow spread before market close.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,226Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature in Guangzhou of 25–27°C on August 21, driven by persistent East Asian monsoon moisture, high humidity near 95%, and widespread cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. Scattered thunderstorms and light northeasterly flow further moderate the diurnal range, keeping the low from dropping toward the lower end of the historical August distribution. Trader consensus across the closely matched 25–27°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer details—such as exact cloud timing, urban heat-island effects at official stations, and model spread in steering patterns—rather than any single disruptive event. Updated CMA guidance and late-day observations will likely resolve the narrow spread before market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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