**Current weather observations and forecast models indicate the lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 12, 2026, will reach approximately 25°C, aligning with the market's 99% implied probability on that exact outcome.** Subtropical conditions in early September typically produce nighttime and early-morning minima near the historical average low of 24.5°C, with multiple sources showing overnight readings bottoming at 24–26°C before daytime warming to 32–33°C. Stable high pressure, light northeast winds, and minimal precipitation overnight have prevented significant cooling or warming deviations. Official measurements from stations such as Guangzhou Baiyun Airport will determine resolution, with thresholds sensitive to precise hourly minima. Only an unforecasted cold advection or localized measurement anomaly could realistically shift the result outside the narrow 24–26°C band, though model consensus and real-time data make such shifts improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 12?
25°C 99%
24°C 4%
20°C 2%
23°C 1.9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
99%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99%
24°C 4%
20°C 2%
23°C 1.9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
18°C or below
$63 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$45 Wol.
1%
20°C
$0 Wol.
2%
21°C
$10 Wol.
1%
22°C
$87 Wol.
1%
23°C
$93 Wol.
2%
24°C
$72 Wol.
4%
25°C
$166 Wol.
99%
26°C
$15 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$30 Wol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$56 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current weather observations and forecast models indicate the lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 12, 2026, will reach approximately 25°C, aligning with the market's 99% implied probability on that exact outcome.** Subtropical conditions in early September typically produce nighttime and early-morning minima near the historical average low of 24.5°C, with multiple sources showing overnight readings bottoming at 24–26°C before daytime warming to 32–33°C. Stable high pressure, light northeast winds, and minimal precipitation overnight have prevented significant cooling or warming deviations. Official measurements from stations such as Guangzhou Baiyun Airport will determine resolution, with thresholds sensitive to precise hourly minima. Only an unforecasted cold advection or localized measurement anomaly could realistically shift the result outside the narrow 24–26°C band, though model consensus and real-time data make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$637Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current weather observations and forecast models indicate the lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 12, 2026, will reach approximately 25°C, aligning with the market's 99% implied probability on that exact outcome.** Subtropical conditions in early September typically produce nighttime and early-morning minima near the historical average low of 24.5°C, with multiple sources showing overnight readings bottoming at 24–26°C before daytime warming to 32–33°C. Stable high pressure, light northeast winds, and minimal precipitation overnight have prevented significant cooling or warming deviations. Official measurements from stations such as Guangzhou Baiyun Airport will determine resolution, with thresholds sensitive to precise hourly minima. Only an unforecasted cold advection or localized measurement anomaly could realistically shift the result outside the narrow 24–26°C band, though model consensus and real-time data make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$637Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Current weather observations and forecast models indicate the lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 12, 2026, will reach approximately 25°C, aligning with the market's 99% implied probability on that exact outcome.** Subtropical conditions in early September typically produce nighttime and early-morning minima near the historical average low of 24.5°C, with multiple sources showing overnight readings bottoming at 24–26°C before daytime warming to 32–33°C. Stable high pressure, light northeast winds, and minimal precipitation overnight have prevented significant cooling or warming deviations. Official measurements from stations such as Guangzhou Baiyun Airport will determine resolution, with thresholds sensitive to precise hourly minima. Only an unforecasted cold advection or localized measurement anomaly could realistically shift the result outside the narrow 24–26°C band, though model consensus and real-time data make such shifts improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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