Trader consensus around 25–27°C for Guangzhou’s September 9 minimum reflects tight forecast spreads under partly cloudy skies, elevated humidity near 70–80%, and light variable winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling in this subtropical setting. Model differences center on exact cloud timing and any scattered showers, which can raise dew points and cap overnight drops near the 24.6°C historical average low. Recent observations show daytime highs near 33–34°C giving way to gradual evening declines, with urban heat-island effects and measurement-site specifics adding minor variance. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds before final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
25°C 47%
23°C 9%
21°C 2%
20°C or below <1%
$1,046 Wol.
$1,046 Wol.
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
9%
24°C
-
25°C
47%
26°C
52%
27°C
51%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 47%
23°C 9%
21°C 2%
20°C or below <1%
$1,046 Wol.
$1,046 Wol.
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
9%
24°C
-
25°C
47%
26°C
52%
27°C
51%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 25–27°C for Guangzhou’s September 9 minimum reflects tight forecast spreads under partly cloudy skies, elevated humidity near 70–80%, and light variable winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling in this subtropical setting. Model differences center on exact cloud timing and any scattered showers, which can raise dew points and cap overnight drops near the 24.6°C historical average low. Recent observations show daytime highs near 33–34°C giving way to gradual evening declines, with urban heat-island effects and measurement-site specifics adding minor variance. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds before final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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