Hong Kong's typical August climatology features overnight lows of 26–28°C under the influence of the warm, humid South China Sea monsoon, with the Hong Kong Observatory headquarters station serving as the official reference. On August 14, 2026, light southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers maintained this baseline, preventing significant radiational cooling and keeping the recorded minimum at 26°C. This alignment with seasonal norms and short-term model consensus drove the market's near-certain pricing on 26°C. Scenarios that could have altered the outcome, such as clearer skies enabling stronger nocturnal cooling or an unexpected influx of cooler air, remained low-probability given persistent regional warmth and the absence of frontal systems.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$74,162 Wol.
$74,162 Wol.
Aug 14, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$74,162 Wol.
$74,162 Wol.
Aug 14, 2026
22°C or below
$2,697 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$4,022 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$6,030 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$10,309 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$12,091 Wol.
100%
27°C
$17,941 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$6,732 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$8,489 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$4,174 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$567 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,108 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's typical August climatology features overnight lows of 26–28°C under the influence of the warm, humid South China Sea monsoon, with the Hong Kong Observatory headquarters station serving as the official reference. On August 14, 2026, light southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers maintained this baseline, preventing significant radiational cooling and keeping the recorded minimum at 26°C. This alignment with seasonal norms and short-term model consensus drove the market's near-certain pricing on 26°C. Scenarios that could have altered the outcome, such as clearer skies enabling stronger nocturnal cooling or an unexpected influx of cooler air, remained low-probability given persistent regional warmth and the absence of frontal systems.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$74,162Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's typical August climatology features overnight lows of 26–28°C under the influence of the warm, humid South China Sea monsoon, with the Hong Kong Observatory headquarters station serving as the official reference. On August 14, 2026, light southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers maintained this baseline, preventing significant radiational cooling and keeping the recorded minimum at 26°C. This alignment with seasonal norms and short-term model consensus drove the market's near-certain pricing on 26°C. Scenarios that could have altered the outcome, such as clearer skies enabling stronger nocturnal cooling or an unexpected influx of cooler air, remained low-probability given persistent regional warmth and the absence of frontal systems.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$74,162Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's typical August climatology features overnight lows of 26–28°C under the influence of the warm, humid South China Sea monsoon, with the Hong Kong Observatory headquarters station serving as the official reference. On August 14, 2026, light southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers maintained this baseline, preventing significant radiational cooling and keeping the recorded minimum at 26°C. This alignment with seasonal norms and short-term model consensus drove the market's near-certain pricing on 26°C. Scenarios that could have altered the outcome, such as clearer skies enabling stronger nocturnal cooling or an unexpected influx of cooler air, remained low-probability given persistent regional warmth and the absence of frontal systems.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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