Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements from August 15, 2026, recorded minimum air temperatures of 26.0–26.5°C at multiple stations including Chek Lap Kok and Tai Lung, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain 26°C outcome. August climatology in the region features typical overnight lows near 26–28°C under prevailing subtropical high pressure and humid conditions, with no significant cooling from frontal systems or typhoon influences that day. Traders' overwhelming consensus reflects confidence in these verified observational data rather than forecasts, as the market resolves on official daily minima. Minor shifts could arise only if resolution criteria emphasize a single reference station reading differing by 1°C due to microclimate effects or later data revisions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
26°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
$44,610 Wol.
$44,610 Wol.
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
$44,610 Wol.
$44,610 Wol.
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
$723 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$5,016 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$3,312 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$5,983 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$11,921 Wol.
100%
27°C
$8,410 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$4,934 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$2,370 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$1,073 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$430 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$440 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements from August 15, 2026, recorded minimum air temperatures of 26.0–26.5°C at multiple stations including Chek Lap Kok and Tai Lung, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain 26°C outcome. August climatology in the region features typical overnight lows near 26–28°C under prevailing subtropical high pressure and humid conditions, with no significant cooling from frontal systems or typhoon influences that day. Traders' overwhelming consensus reflects confidence in these verified observational data rather than forecasts, as the market resolves on official daily minima. Minor shifts could arise only if resolution criteria emphasize a single reference station reading differing by 1°C due to microclimate effects or later data revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$44,610Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements from August 15, 2026, recorded minimum air temperatures of 26.0–26.5°C at multiple stations including Chek Lap Kok and Tai Lung, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain 26°C outcome. August climatology in the region features typical overnight lows near 26–28°C under prevailing subtropical high pressure and humid conditions, with no significant cooling from frontal systems or typhoon influences that day. Traders' overwhelming consensus reflects confidence in these verified observational data rather than forecasts, as the market resolves on official daily minima. Minor shifts could arise only if resolution criteria emphasize a single reference station reading differing by 1°C due to microclimate effects or later data revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$44,610Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements from August 15, 2026, recorded minimum air temperatures of 26.0–26.5°C at multiple stations including Chek Lap Kok and Tai Lung, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain 26°C outcome. August climatology in the region features typical overnight lows near 26–28°C under prevailing subtropical high pressure and humid conditions, with no significant cooling from frontal systems or typhoon influences that day. Traders' overwhelming consensus reflects confidence in these verified observational data rather than forecasts, as the market resolves on official daily minima. Minor shifts could arise only if resolution criteria emphasize a single reference station reading differing by 1°C due to microclimate effects or later data revisions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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