The near-certain market consensus around a 27°C minimum in Hong Kong on September 20 stems from official observational data confirming that exact low, consistent with overnight readings near 27°C before diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. Regional conditions featured typical late-summer humidity and minimal overnight radiative cooling, aligning with climatological norms for the period rather than anomalous cold advection. This outcome sits well within historical September ranges, where minimums commonly fall between 25–28°C absent strong frontal passages or typhoon influences. Resolution now hinges on final Hong Kong Observatory verification, with any measurement revision the primary remaining uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$27,332 Wol.
$27,332 Wol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$27,332 Wol.
$27,332 Wol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The near-certain market consensus around a 27°C minimum in Hong Kong on September 20 stems from official observational data confirming that exact low, consistent with overnight readings near 27°C before diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. Regional conditions featured typical late-summer humidity and minimal overnight radiative cooling, aligning with climatological norms for the period rather than anomalous cold advection. This outcome sits well within historical September ranges, where minimums commonly fall between 25–28°C absent strong frontal passages or typhoon influences. Resolution now hinges on final Hong Kong Observatory verification, with any measurement revision the primary remaining uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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