Latest forecast models and observational data indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 21 is most likely settling near 21–23 °C, reflected in the tightly clustered market-implied odds. Diurnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara are limiting further drops, while urban heat retention and residual humidity prevent a sharper decline. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in the overnight low, with limited potential for values at or below 20 °C unless clearer skies develop rapidly. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service readings and nearby station data will determine the final recorded minimum, with traders monitoring any last-hour revisions to model output or real-time observations that could shift resolution between the leading bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 21?
18°C 59%
19°C 59%
17°C or below 35%
21°C 34%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
17°C or below
35%
18°C
59%
19°C
59%
20°C
31%
21°C
34%
22°C
34%
23°C
34%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
1%
18°C 59%
19°C 59%
17°C or below 35%
21°C 34%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
17°C or below
$109 Wol.
35%
18°C
$173 Wol.
59%
19°C
$123 Wol.
59%
20°C
$77 Wol.
31%
21°C
$0 Wol.
34%
22°C
$16 Wol.
34%
23°C
$0 Wol.
34%
24°C
$227 Wol.
1%
25°C
$435 Wol.
1%
26°C
$937 Wol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$357 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models and observational data indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 21 is most likely settling near 21–23 °C, reflected in the tightly clustered market-implied odds. Diurnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara are limiting further drops, while urban heat retention and residual humidity prevent a sharper decline. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in the overnight low, with limited potential for values at or below 20 °C unless clearer skies develop rapidly. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service readings and nearby station data will determine the final recorded minimum, with traders monitoring any last-hour revisions to model output or real-time observations that could shift resolution between the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,455Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models and observational data indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 21 is most likely settling near 21–23 °C, reflected in the tightly clustered market-implied odds. Diurnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara are limiting further drops, while urban heat retention and residual humidity prevent a sharper decline. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in the overnight low, with limited potential for values at or below 20 °C unless clearer skies develop rapidly. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service readings and nearby station data will determine the final recorded minimum, with traders monitoring any last-hour revisions to model output or real-time observations that could shift resolution between the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,455Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models and observational data indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 21 is most likely settling near 21–23 °C, reflected in the tightly clustered market-implied odds. Diurnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara are limiting further drops, while urban heat retention and residual humidity prevent a sharper decline. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in the overnight low, with limited potential for values at or below 20 °C unless clearer skies develop rapidly. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service readings and nearby station data will determine the final recorded minimum, with traders monitoring any last-hour revisions to model output or real-time observations that could shift resolution between the leading bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania