**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and GFS consistently point to a minimum temperature near 12°C in London overnight into early morning on September 10, driven by mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderating Atlantic air ahead of an approaching rain band.** This setup prevents significant radiative cooling while historical September averages hover around 11.9°C, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 12°C (47.5%) and 13°C (32.5%). Recent patterns of variable Atlantic low-pressure systems have kept overnight lows mild rather than crisp, with limited model divergence on the exact minimum. Traders appear to price in the latest guidance showing lows unlikely to dip below 11°C or reach 14°C or higher under these stable conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on September 10?
Lowest temperature in London on September 10?
12°C 48%
13°C 33%
14°C 12%
11°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
5°C or below
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
6%
12°C
48%
13°C
33%
14°C
12%
15°C or higher
3%
12°C 48%
13°C 33%
14°C 12%
11°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
5°C or below
$116 Wol.
1%
6°C
$45 Wol.
1%
7°C
$68 Wol.
1%
8°C
$262 Wol.
1%
9°C
$513 Wol.
2%
10°C
$159 Wol.
3%
11°C
$472 Wol.
6%
12°C
$1,848 Wol.
48%
13°C
$808 Wol.
33%
14°C
$558 Wol.
12%
15°C or higher
$66 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and GFS consistently point to a minimum temperature near 12°C in London overnight into early morning on September 10, driven by mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderating Atlantic air ahead of an approaching rain band.**
This setup prevents significant radiative cooling while historical September averages hover around 11.9°C, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 12°C (47.5%) and 13°C (32.5%). Recent patterns of variable Atlantic low-pressure systems have kept overnight lows mild rather than crisp, with limited model divergence on the exact minimum. Traders appear to price in the latest guidance showing lows unlikely to dip below 11°C or reach 14°C or higher under these stable conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,866Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and GFS consistently point to a minimum temperature near 12°C in London overnight into early morning on September 10, driven by mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderating Atlantic air ahead of an approaching rain band.**
This setup prevents significant radiative cooling while historical September averages hover around 11.9°C, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 12°C (47.5%) and 13°C (32.5%). Recent patterns of variable Atlantic low-pressure systems have kept overnight lows mild rather than crisp, with limited model divergence on the exact minimum. Traders appear to price in the latest guidance showing lows unlikely to dip below 11°C or reach 14°C or higher under these stable conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,866Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and GFS consistently point to a minimum temperature near 12°C in London overnight into early morning on September 10, driven by mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderating Atlantic air ahead of an approaching rain band.** This setup prevents significant radiative cooling while historical September averages hover around 11.9°C, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 12°C (47.5%) and 13°C (32.5%). Recent patterns of variable Atlantic low-pressure systems have kept overnight lows mild rather than crisp, with limited model divergence on the exact minimum. Traders appear to price in the latest guidance showing lows unlikely to dip below 11°C or reach 14°C or higher under these stable conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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