**Current forecast models indicate an overnight low near 24–26°C for Manila on September 22, with PAGASA guidance centering on 25°C amid monsoon-driven thunderstorms and high humidity.** Scattered convection and persistent cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the minimum within the typical September range of roughly 24–27°C observed historically. The near-even market split between 31°C-or-higher and 21°C-or-below outcomes highlights genuine uncertainty in the precise timing of any clearing skies or rain-cooled air masses that could shift the daily minimum by a few degrees. Ensemble spreads from global models show modest variability tied to wind direction and moisture, with resolution hinging on the next updated runs before the overnight period. Trader consensus thus prices in the possibility of modest forecast revisions rather than a strong central tendency.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Manila on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 22?
31°C or higher 92%
21°C or below 90%
27°C 55%
26°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
21°C or below
90%
22°C
13%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
40%
27°C
36%
28°C
39%
29°C
17%
30°C
17%
31°C or higher
92%
31°C or higher 92%
21°C or below 90%
27°C 55%
26°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Wol.
90%
22°C
$0 Wol.
13%
23°C
$0 Wol.
39%
24°C
$0 Wol.
39%
25°C
$0 Wol.
39%
26°C
$0 Wol.
40%
27°C
$114 Wol.
36%
28°C
$0 Wol.
39%
29°C
$0 Wol.
17%
30°C
$0 Wol.
17%
31°C or higher
$0 Wol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models indicate an overnight low near 24–26°C for Manila on September 22, with PAGASA guidance centering on 25°C amid monsoon-driven thunderstorms and high humidity.** Scattered convection and persistent cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the minimum within the typical September range of roughly 24–27°C observed historically. The near-even market split between 31°C-or-higher and 21°C-or-below outcomes highlights genuine uncertainty in the precise timing of any clearing skies or rain-cooled air masses that could shift the daily minimum by a few degrees. Ensemble spreads from global models show modest variability tied to wind direction and moisture, with resolution hinging on the next updated runs before the overnight period. Trader consensus thus prices in the possibility of modest forecast revisions rather than a strong central tendency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Wolumen
$114Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models indicate an overnight low near 24–26°C for Manila on September 22, with PAGASA guidance centering on 25°C amid monsoon-driven thunderstorms and high humidity.** Scattered convection and persistent cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the minimum within the typical September range of roughly 24–27°C observed historically. The near-even market split between 31°C-or-higher and 21°C-or-below outcomes highlights genuine uncertainty in the precise timing of any clearing skies or rain-cooled air masses that could shift the daily minimum by a few degrees. Ensemble spreads from global models show modest variability tied to wind direction and moisture, with resolution hinging on the next updated runs before the overnight period. Trader consensus thus prices in the possibility of modest forecast revisions rather than a strong central tendency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$114Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models indicate an overnight low near 24–26°C for Manila on September 22, with PAGASA guidance centering on 25°C amid monsoon-driven thunderstorms and high humidity.** Scattered convection and persistent cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the minimum within the typical September range of roughly 24–27°C observed historically. The near-even market split between 31°C-or-higher and 21°C-or-below outcomes highlights genuine uncertainty in the precise timing of any clearing skies or rain-cooled air masses that could shift the daily minimum by a few degrees. Ensemble spreads from global models show modest variability tied to wind direction and moisture, with resolution hinging on the next updated runs before the overnight period. Trader consensus thus prices in the possibility of modest forecast revisions rather than a strong central tendency.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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